MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa0e7dd2c65be6d416cc5ac5f8c711be98fb4304bcf1265a28918fe0ecc4a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 90,807$49,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,771.33 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 62,063$29,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,305.08 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 53,173$22,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,608.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 67c | 37,544$25,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,270.18 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 49c | 34,492$16,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,627.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 45c | 31,797$14,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,456.62 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 26,331$12,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,006.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 55c | 21,111$11,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.95 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 15,614$7,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 64c | 15,000$9,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.21 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 13,215$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 12,643$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.61 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,466$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 9,323$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.57 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked New York Mets | 54c | 8,834$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 8,419$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 8,278$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.06 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 7,337$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 7,311$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,868$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.88 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,743$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.07 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked New York Mets | 52c | 5,977$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.29 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed New York Mets | 41c | 5,004$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,977$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,961$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.7 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,542$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,143$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.52 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,021$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Mets | 41c | 3,614$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.26 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 3,429$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 3,298$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,153$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,825$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 50c | 2,771$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.52 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,066$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,060$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.69 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,983$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.38 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,940$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.23 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,859$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…8c93backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,840$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,753$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,606$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,496$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.93 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,457$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Mets | 77c | 1,335$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,177$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,110$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,100$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.2 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,100$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.98 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,083$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.15 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 1,027$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed New York Mets | 54c | 987.62$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.31 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 959.76$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.09 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 869.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…1acdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 832.59$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 829.41$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.53 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 775$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 770.04$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 760.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 738.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 736.37$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 603.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 574.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked New York Mets | 75c | 569.25$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 61c | 555.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.57 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 548.67$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Mets | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked New York Mets | 45c | 496$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052d…fcc1backed New York Mets | 47c | 486.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 470.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 457.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 447.06$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 436.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 55c | 435.24$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed New York Mets | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 422.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed New York Mets | 43c | 419.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked New York Mets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 413.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…0c49backed New York Mets | 55c | 405.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 400.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.