TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof PARIVISION, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$483,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$645,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed BetBoom Team53c65,136$34,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,666.7316147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION47c64,790$30,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,501.6328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION50c32,338$16,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,313.61,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION39c12,349$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.991,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed PARIVISION49c12,000$5,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked BetBoom Team49c11,561$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,928.7910751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION45c10,857$4,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.6556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION41c9,573$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.8889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team55c8,446$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION53c7,824$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.5813558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team61c6,646$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.8443344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team57c6,108$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.8939343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed BetBoom Team58c5,510$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.8212557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked PARIVISION41c5,385$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.642133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed BetBoom Team51c5,000$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4704957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION47c5,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.9927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team54c4,163$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team54c3,842$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.551,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team59c3,761$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.932,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed BetBoom Team52c3,700$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.1341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked BetBoom Team49c3,541$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.0910646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION48c2,974$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.5241351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION48c2,714$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.7225248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed BetBoom Team61c2,629$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.3747650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION47c2,294$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9913851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team55c2,225$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.7127143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team57c2,100$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.4248954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed BetBoom Team48c2,060$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.149850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team50c2,056$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.341,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked BetBoom Team78c1,882$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2917373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team51c1,819$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.3922647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION43c1,750$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION46c1,591$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked BetBoom Team47c1,560$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69038049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed BetBoom Team52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team56c1,400$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.771,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed BetBoom Team53c1,363$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5772035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION47c1,350$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION37c1,346$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed BetBoom Team53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61125935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION48c1,269$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2337945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked BetBoom Team49c1,255$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.113442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed BetBoom Team80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0830356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team55c1,249$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.1458744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team52c1,213$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked BetBoom Team55c1,179$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.588469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION48c1,163$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1110546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed PARIVISION49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed PARIVISION34c1,118$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.43844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed PARIVISION49c1,100$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53510753.3%57 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team57c1,071$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team53c1,055$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.0389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team48c1,041$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.3279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked BetBoom Team52c1,035$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.9821144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team50c1,007$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6379859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed BetBoom Team62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked BetBoom Team54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46016541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team57c982.36$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.611,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed BetBoom Team52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.546354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed BetBoom Team54c930.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1461745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BetBoom Team62c908.75$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3265647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked BetBoom Team49c886$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8632652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BetBoom Team53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37631547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION49c800$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed BetBoom Team53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.727255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION47c753.77$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2739550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team63c724.64$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.351,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed BetBoom Team49c711$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2729352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION54c683.88$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9926956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BetBoom Team51c665.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.336150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed BetBoom Team59c655$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0620939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked PARIVISION46c640$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.426848.9%131 W · 137 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c5…da68backed BetBoom Team40c632.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION50c620$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked PARIVISION45c610.91$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9116328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked PARIVISION43c608.88$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.621,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team51c575.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3774549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team50c556.15$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.21,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION53c538.25$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed PARIVISION47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23420145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed BetBoom Team53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23537655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked BetBoom Team51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24545052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked BetBoom Team52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24030041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION8c499.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team57c477.54$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.011,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION36c464.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.21,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team51c441.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2937047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team56c437.91$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.051,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked PARIVISION30c437.37$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6231953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BetBoom Team63c435.05$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.121,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BetBoom Team51c433.2$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed BetBoom Team46c431.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.239951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BetBoom Team51c430$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.750749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked BetBoom Team51c413.93$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3219849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.