Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405093bdd8e9c0b6b7890eb920b905b84cd9765141c9550ffa459b68a6aeb1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Denver Pioneers | 13c | 18,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,660 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Denver Pioneers | 11c | 1,466$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.05 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…7fb1backed North Dakota State Bison | 6c | 1,043$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 1,006$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Denver Pioneers | 57c | 448.71$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Denver Pioneers | 75c | 398.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Denver Pioneers | 73c | 389.54$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…934abacked Denver Pioneers | 77c | 384.42$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Denver Pioneers | 47c | 370$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Denver Pioneers | 72c | 344.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Dakota State Bison | 18c | 287.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Denver Pioneers | 43c | 263.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Dakota State Bison | 36c | 242.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed North Dakota State Bison | 69c | 212.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Denver Pioneers | 21c | 194.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota State Bison | 17c | 166$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison | 32c | 154.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Denver Pioneers | 34c | 147.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed North Dakota State Bison | 73c | 141.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Denver Pioneers | 35c | 138.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Denver Pioneers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed North Dakota State Bison | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denver Pioneers | 15c | 128.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Denver Pioneers | 15c | 122.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota State Bison | 30c | 115.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Denver Pioneers | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Denver Pioneers | 36c | 97.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Denver Pioneers | 17c | 87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 30c | 82.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 79c | 82.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Denver Pioneers | 58c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…2108backed Denver Pioneers | 43c | 57.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 37c | 53.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 48.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…1ee3backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 45.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Denver Pioneers | 73c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Denver Pioneers | 29c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 34.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed North Dakota State Bison | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed North Dakota State Bison | 72c | 22.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Dakota State Bison | 57c | 20.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…2818backed Denver Pioneers | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Denver Pioneers | 78c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…ba08backed Denver Pioneers | 67c | 15.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bisonthis page
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.