Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe216aae9bc547600ef8ae9db962211c22c54b45930a391463ddb91eb3b62e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Gianluca Cadenasso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 14,840$8,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,202.78 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 12,735$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.49 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 47c | 7,627$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.81 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 43c | 7,379$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 5,260$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.21 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 4,698$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.1 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 3,651$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 52c | 3,331$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.86 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 48c | 3,154$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.82 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 76c | 2,383$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…cd60backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 2,156$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 1,839$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.22 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 1,747$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.7 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 1,725$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.75 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…83c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 1,555$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.65 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 1,283$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.27 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…e1e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 77c | 1,273$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 1,118$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 48c | 1,020$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…0e3abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 75c | 935.34$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 915.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.73 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 845.94$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.91 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 800$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.62 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 770$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 730.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 699.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 679.72$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 50c | 661.85$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 660.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.89 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 21c | 589.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 548.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 543.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.56 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 525.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 499.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…ea89backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 485.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 453.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 441.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 412.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 408.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 379.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 374.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 369.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 347.59$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 318.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 284.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 50c | 277.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 256.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 66c | 250.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 14c | 238.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 209$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 42c | 202$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 199.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 195.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 48c | 191.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 191.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…6651backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 176.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 174.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 169.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 167.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 149.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 145.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 139.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 137.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 134.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…d474backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 39c | 128.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 124.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 27c | 121.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 111.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 108.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 103.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 100.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenassothis page
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Gianluca Cadenasso: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.