TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Roman Safiullin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roman Safiullinof Lukas Neumayer, Roman Safiullin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Lukas Neumayer26c6,937$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.077,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…9885backed Roman Safiullin59c6,473$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Roman Safiullin63c6,468$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.8511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer28c4,533$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.169,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Roman Safiullin66c4,447$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.1153655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0165…8235backed Lukas Neumayer47c4,169$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.065749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Roman Safiullin66c2,803$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.348,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lukas Neumayer47c2,116$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.1654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Lukas Neumayer25c1,973$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.164932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482f…7504backed Roman Safiullin72c1,943$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.296068.3%41 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Roman Safiullin74c1,773$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.081,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Lukas Neumayer27c1,738$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1865959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Roman Safiullin56c1,722$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.043,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Roman Safiullin63c1,565$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.61,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Lukas Neumayer41c1,223$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Lukas Neumayer43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Lukas Neumayer20c991.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Roman Safiullin56c916.98$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4787251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Lukas Neumayer25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer38c798.34$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.29,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4310…cd60backed Lukas Neumayer33c743.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lukas Neumayer44c681.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Roman Safiullin56c665.33$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3362545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Lukas Neumayer35c650$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.57526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Roman Safiullin55c649.98$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4932851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lukas Neumayer22c642.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.146,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Roman Safiullin56c562.5$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Lukas Neumayer37c532.42$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3248756.5%275 W · 212 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Lukas Neumayer43c509.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Lukas Neumayer20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Lukas Neumayer40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Roman Safiullin55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9954138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971a…ea89backed Roman Safiullin55c485.07$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Lukas Neumayer44c454.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Lukas Neumayer45c403.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.442,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Lukas Neumayer46c401.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18368139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Lukas Neumayer45c364.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16430847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Roman Safiullin55c363.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6954547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8d…2633backed Lukas Neumayer44c347.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Roman Safiullin59c341.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5854249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Lukas Neumayer45c328$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9727936.2%101 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lukas Neumayer38c312.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.432,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Lukas Neumayer45c292.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.159640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lukas Neumayer29c284.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.22,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4813…236cbacked Lukas Neumayer39c258.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lukas Neumayer42c250.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.333,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Lukas Neumayer37c243.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908950.6%45 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Roman Safiullin58c216.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.864,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Lukas Neumayer15c214.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.214325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Roman Safiullin67c213.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0244448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Lukas Neumayer47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Lukas Neumayer48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9636740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Roman Safiullin54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9960856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Lukas Neumayer29c191.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lukas Neumayer39c188.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.974,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Roman Safiullin63c182.63$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.892733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Roman Safiullin55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Roman Safiullin62c180$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1236944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Roman Safiullin62c180$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Roman Safiullin57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Roman Safiullin59c169.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5883661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Roman Safiullin70c169.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lukas Neumayer43c162.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.944,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Roman Safiullin54c159.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.461,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Lukas Neumayer45c138.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.172650%13 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Roman Safiullin71c132.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3985057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Roman Safiullin79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5815758.6%92 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lukas Neumayer39c125.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.331,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Roman Safiullin61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d12…4070backed Roman Safiullin53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410254.9%56 W · 46 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Roman Safiullin54c119.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1914551%74 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Roman Safiullin70c115.68$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.126,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Lukas Neumayer38c111.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8974346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Roman Safiullin72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.117473%54 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Roman Safiullin78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Lukas Neumayer46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Lukas Neumayer46c107.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5725245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Lukas Neumayer42c106.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.513545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Roman Safiullin62c105.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2815938.4%61 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Roman Safiullin76c101.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3216961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Roman Safiullin58c101.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.536068.3%41 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Lukas Neumayer44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4434154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Lukas Neumayer46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Lukas Neumayer15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155117.6%9 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Roman Safiullin59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Roman Safiullin55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Roman Safiullin61c94.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.964,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.045,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Lukas Neumayer45c83.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7243242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Roman Safiullin56c80.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.842,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Roman Safiullin56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Lukas Neumayer40c74.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8253241.5%221 W · 311 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732d…f413backed Roman Safiullin69c72.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84355.8%24 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Roman Safiullin61c69.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.271,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Roman Safiullin64c66.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.974,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Lukas Neumayer31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Lukas Neumayer45c64.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9855641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Lukas Neumayer30c62.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8216349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdeb…8cd1backed Roman Safiullin55c62.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Roman Safiullin73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227755.6%154 W · 123 L-1.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.