World Politics · resolved market
Will Trudeau resign Today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae692198af3dfba8d161c24a00d1384f927073c7ecc20996cd4892413bd70bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,061,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…5267backed No | 16c | 58,202$9,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,411.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed No | 4c | 44,125$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618b…c3dabacked No | 0c | 32,809$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed No | 0c | 28,219$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 13c | 20,700$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6433…b567backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 2c | 19,854$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.51 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…8811backed No | 0c | 17,785$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 0c | 17,108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 0c | 16,913$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 10c | 15,974$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.72 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…525abacked No | 0c | 13,920$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 46c | 12,936$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1,107.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 58c | 11,622$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.46 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 2c | 9,845$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…3a80backed No | 0c | 9,840$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 29c | 9,563$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 14c | 8,888$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 47c | 8,266$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…fc56backed No | 4c | 8,260$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 50c | 7,996$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…fbeabacked No | 18c | 7,704$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…7538backed No | 0c | 7,487$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 40c | 7,001$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.06 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 8c | 6,648$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 0c | 6,638$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed No | 0c | 6,538$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 3c | 6,088$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 21c | 5,758$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.68 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 79c | 5,213$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…f68abacked No | 3c | 5,167$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…fb2abacked No | 8c | 5,099$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…eaabbacked No | 1c | 5,014$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd83…28f1backed No | 0c | 4,777$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 9c | 4,531$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 80c | 3,643$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 31c | 3,008$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.46 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed No | 23c | 3,001$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 3c | 3,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49c…28ddbacked Yes | 24c | 2,977$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +240.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 6c | 2,890$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed No | 1c | 2,769$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked No | 41c | 2,691$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2607…8b73backed No | 0c | 2,663$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed No | 2c | 2,520$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed No | 20c | 2,482$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 11c | 2,282$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…f76ebacked No | 15c | 2,263$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 40c | 2,134$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…4e9ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,080$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 23c | 2,047$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.36 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked No | 3c | 2,019$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked No | 38c | 2,018$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed No | 17c | 1,952$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…640dbacked No | 16c | 1,907$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 23c | 1,867$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 75c | 1,866$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.72 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…87c4backed No | 27c | 1,852$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 1c | 1,845$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 17c | 1,768$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.54 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…e93bbacked No | 20c | 1,762$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…1f83backed No | 24c | 1,684$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed No | 6c | 1,668$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…d10dbacked No | 13c | 1,528$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…53fabacked No | 1c | 1,430$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked No | 46c | 1,320$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed No | 17c | 1,316$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 20c | 1,274$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed No | 31c | 1,212$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…618fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,212$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 13c | 1,140$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 35c | 1,094$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.61 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 64c | 1,051$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…fef5backed No | 29c | 1,044$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,042$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…c04bbacked No | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 32c | 905.81$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 78c | 850$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked No | 17c | 832.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfe…757fbacked No | 12c | 804.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 33c | 804.83$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.24 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 76c | 783$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked No | 17c | 754.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa71…11c7backed No | 47c | 748.11$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 53c | 724.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed No | 50c | 699.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…c040backed No | 22c | 660.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 77c | 658.38$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…e8a9backed No | 17c | 638.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 604.45$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…2df0backed Yes | 17c | 604.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3b22backed Yes | 79c | 580$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…5907backed Yes | 66c | 576.95$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…a45ebacked No | 26c | 566.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…3a9ebacked No | 72c | 555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 21c | 551.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.