La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07fcb0a552b3feba1bc3fdda76120286c4986b06bb56cf651915c51669208e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 37c | 7,628$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.19 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 5,209$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 2,232$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.47 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 412.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Over | 50c | 199.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 140.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 47c | 59.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 34c | 58.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 52.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Under | 50c | 52.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e7c0backed Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 23.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Over | 78c | 22.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.