NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec642512744ca3a90fae07cf2c92be2eff1b7ac35203470c565453843025e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 67c | 5,042$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.87 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Knicks | 73c | 2,330$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.51 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Knicks | 51c | 1,350$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wizards | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 26c | 1,160$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 28c | 1,052$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Wizards | 21c | 721.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Knicks | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Knicks | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Wizards | 32c | 431.25$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.25 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wizards | 44c | 393$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks | 13c | 319.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 23c | 318$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Knicks | 74c | 250$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Knicks | 62c | 237.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 57c | 210.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Knicks | 74c | 210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 31c | 197.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 71c | 177.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Knicks | 63c | 174.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Knicks | 63c | 172.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wizards | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 12c | 137.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked Knicks | 13c | 135.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wizards | 31c | 130.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Knicks | 62c | 125.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wizards | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Knicks | 62c | 81.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Wizards | 76c | 65.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Knicks | 63c | 64.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Knicks | 62c | 57.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Knicks | 62c | 52.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Knicks | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Knicks | 63c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.