NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45fb06977e6b9c01c426f41066d929cd5534a690979b1fb5e7bf4451a6a6dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 5,437$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 63c | 3,595$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Warriors | 64c | 3,112$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.31 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 2,858$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.89 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,336$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,030$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,025$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.54 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Warriors | 44c | 1,006$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.26 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,000$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 844.53$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 819.01$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 616.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 58c | 603.17$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 589$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 589$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 478.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Warriors | 67c | 471.7$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Warriors | 58c | 433$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 378.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 54c | 317.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 53c | 302.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 290$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 247.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 192.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Warriors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Warriors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…4676backed Warriors | 68c | 155.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Warriors | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 78c | 127.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…7169backed Warriors | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Warriors | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Warriors | 20c | 95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 92.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Warriors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…5e50backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…c30fbacked Warriors | 55c | 63.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 57.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…0416backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Warriors | 65c | 46.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Warriors | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…843ebacked Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Warriors | 67c | 32.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Warriors | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Warriors | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.