MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eaa7cd4d9424793b5236466248cc3205be95d7e6c52706c1d5bb13064ae6925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Guardians | 50c | 71,010$35,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,505.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 66c | 44,065$29,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,825.36 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 49c | 8,068$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.48 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Guardians | 51c | 7,555$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.29 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 48c | 6,478$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 4,040$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 3,875$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.1 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 52c | 3,812$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.18 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 3,470$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.3 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 55c | 2,838$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.15 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 37c | 2,611$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 12c | 2,460$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 48c | 2,400$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.21 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Cardinals | 80c | 2,392$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.96 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 23c | 1,964$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 71c | 1,740$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 20c | 1,504$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 27c | 1,315$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.52 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 46c | 1,306$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Cardinals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Guardians | 27c | 1,132$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,002$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Guardians | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Cardinals | 52c | 999.84$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.92 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cardinals | 51c | 978.04$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.24 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cardinals | 51c | 802.68$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.32 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 53c | 518.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Guardians | 38c | 511$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Cardinals | 53c | 503.51$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Cardinals | 50c | 461.31$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Guardians | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Guardians | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Cardinals | 78c | 326.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 320.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 76c | 277.74$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Guardians | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Guardians | 49c | 243.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Guardians | 23c | 239.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 220.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Guardians | 49c | 202.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cardinals | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Cardinals | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 18c | 177.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 20c | 176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guardians | 47c | 170.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 50c | 168.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 155.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Cardinals | 52c | 150.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Guardians | 49c | 150.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Cardinals | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 48c | 132.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 79c | 127.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Cardinals | 54c | 123.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Cardinals | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 104.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…4c8bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 100.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Cardinals | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Cardinals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Cardinals | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Cardinals | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…21a4backed Guardians | 48c | 98.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…d740backed Cardinals | 54c | 97.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…0867backed Guardians | 47c | 96.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…61b6backed Guardians | 47c | 93.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…34c9backed Cardinals | 53c | 93.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…dc5bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…b182backed Guardians | 48c | 92.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cardinals | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 20c | 90.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…6c84backed Guardians | 48c | 88.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…c0fcbacked Cardinals | 54c | 87.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…4c77backed Guardians | 47c | 85.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…5e19backed Cardinals | 53c | 85.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Guardians | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 80.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cardinals | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.