UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1da6115957d29409972944efe203dffe5ea375519824a55dde955293550a840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Micallefof Elliott, Micallef
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Micallef | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Micallef | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Elliott | 45c | 22,661$10,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.09 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elliott | 46c | 21,968$10,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,105.28 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Elliott | 47c | 18,996$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,869.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Elliott | 45c | 17,567$7,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,890.42 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Micallef | 53c | 12,777$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.16 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Micallef | 54c | 11,483$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.24 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Micallef | 54c | 10,522$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.06 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Elliott | 46c | 10,187$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.02 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Elliott | 46c | 8,520$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Elliott | 46c | 8,149$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.53 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Micallef | 51c | 5,000$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.52 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Micallef | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Micallef | 54c | 4,359$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Elliott | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Elliott | 46c | 3,719$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.76 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Elliott | 48c | 3,655$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Micallef | 53c | 3,399$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Elliott | 43c | 3,056$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.71 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Elliott | 57c | 3,053$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.02 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Micallef | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Elliott | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Elliott | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Micallef | 58c | 2,697$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Micallef | 34c | 2,646$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.19 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…82edbacked Elliott | 1c | 2,521$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Elliott | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Micallef | 55c | 2,464$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.64 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Elliott | 45c | 2,428$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.44 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Micallef | 54c | 2,362$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Elliott | 49c | 2,291$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Elliott | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Micallef | 43c | 2,221$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Elliott | 46c | 2,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Micallef | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Elliott | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Micallef | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Micallef | 53c | 1,987$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.11 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Micallef | 55c | 1,900$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Elliott | 46c | 1,846$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Micallef | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Elliott | 56c | 1,747$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.83 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Micallef | 44c | 1,591$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Micallef | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Elliott | 66c | 1,463$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Elliott | 3c | 1,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Micallef | 37c | 1,238$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.01 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Micallef | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Elliott | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Elliott | 45c | 1,172$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.22 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Micallef | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Elliott | 44c | 1,149$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Micallef | 54c | 1,147$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Elliott | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Elliott | 45c | 1,069$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Micallef | 46c | 1,046$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Micallef | 46c | 1,040$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.53 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Micallef | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Elliott | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Micallef | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Elliott | 60c | 997.33$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Elliott | 64c | 948.31$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Micallef | 37c | 944$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Micallef | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Elliott | 70c | 857.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Elliott | 62c | 800.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Micallef | 51c | 789.52$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Elliott | 45c | 761.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…088cbacked Elliott | 47c | 744.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Micallef | 36c | 690$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Elliott | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Micallef | 53c | 568$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Micallef | 55c | 562.23$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Micallef | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…2e0bbacked Micallef | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Micallef | 44c | 525$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Elliott | 63c | 520.01$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Micallef | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Micallef | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Elliott | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Micallef | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Elliott | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Micallef | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Elliott | 46c | 481.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Micallef | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9bb8backed Micallef | 56c | 459.73$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +392.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked Micallef | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Micallef | 50c | 454.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…c29abacked Micallef | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…f049backed Elliott | 46c | 342.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Elliott | 76c | 341.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Micallef | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Elliott | 46c | 326.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Micallef | 31c | 321.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Elliott | 48c | 314.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Elliott | 45c | 314.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Micallef | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Micallef | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Micallef | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Oban Elliott win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.