TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Imperial (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2418…66c8backed Imperial25c25,538$6,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,467.7960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere78c9,037$7,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.731,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Imperial18c8,184$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.992520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere73c8,172$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.084,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Natus Vincere74c6,837$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.722653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed Natus Vincere76c5,247$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.097349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Imperial43c4,391$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.1781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Natus Vincere75c4,013$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.0257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Imperial24c3,215$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.6953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked Imperial27c2,884$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.053557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Natus Vincere53c2,845$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.223237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Imperial14c2,392$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.076432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial28c2,086$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5841,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Imperial29c2,000$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.6261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere75c1,802$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.4534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c6…aa4dbacked Natus Vincere76c1,761$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Imperial25c1,673$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.145,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Imperial27c1,600$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7b…c33ebacked Natus Vincere65c1,577$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.92560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Imperial18c1,537$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Imperial18c1,518$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.512937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9923858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Imperial27c1,479$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Natus Vincere71c1,381$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2121042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x086c…d02abacked Natus Vincere76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Imperial23c1,292$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial48c1,245$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Imperial9c1,204$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Natus Vincere73c1,140$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Natus Vincere71c1,083$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.058042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6327452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7467…e978backed Natus Vincere80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere72c999.97$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Imperial27c993.66$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.979050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere74c949.93$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Imperial32c900.5$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5811044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere72c888$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.641,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Imperial25c887.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7612648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Imperial31c812.68$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed Imperial18c772.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.384827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Imperial31c771.2$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24041850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Imperial26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere75c750$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.51,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere80c734.29$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.191,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Natus Vincere73c710.62$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2622560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere72c707.66$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9613461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Natus Vincere78c700$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15615449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked Imperial22c684.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8334…4e9fbacked Imperial25c640$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.963813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-71.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Imperial28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16819043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed Natus Vincere68c584.77$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.752532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere73c530$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.16347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Imperial29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Imperial28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x358f…f19bbacked Imperial33c491.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d8…313bbacked Natus Vincere72c485$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere72c478.34$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5930335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ae…c89abacked Natus Vincere74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Natus Vincere64c468.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.567042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3aa…36e5backed Natus Vincere72c417.59$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.793262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Natus Vincere74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.416552.3%34 W · 31 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere76c401.32$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Natus Vincere74c389.18$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1910942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9274…b808backed Natus Vincere76c388.63$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Imperial26c358.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1329235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Imperial28c356.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.732955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Natus Vincere71c344.83$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Imperial29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c7…b39cbacked Natus Vincere73c340.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Imperial27c325$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7514148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Imperial27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Imperial36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed Natus Vincere74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed Imperial25c267.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2211428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Imperial15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Imperial20c261.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6218336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d5…9e9ebacked Imperial10c250$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.521846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e1…e14ebacked Natus Vincere71c240.9$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.863644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Imperial23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.222349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Imperial18c235.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.128250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4d…d116backed Natus Vincere68c220.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.864637%17 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Natus Vincere75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Natus Vincere74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeca…c6cabacked Imperial27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Natus Vincere74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Imperial20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Imperial26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…abd7backed Natus Vincere58c182$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Imperial20c181.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Natus Vincere80c171$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b9…0354backed Natus Vincere71c154.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.234456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Imperial33c152.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Natus Vincere73c152.72$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8114951.7%77 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere71c140.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.