Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4199011f0c6b66d39f74826c0f466beb1381b1128716b566ea5df9b9aa3a7409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 10,252$7,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.52 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 27c | 10,046$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 65c | 9,552$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.53 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 8,340$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.8 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 34c | 7,254$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 67c | 6,120$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 66c | 5,335$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.85 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 57c | 4,389$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.04 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes | 32c | 3,502$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 33c | 3,034$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 33c | 2,779$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed No | 68c | 2,561$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 34c | 2,341$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 51c | 1,277$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.41 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 71c | 1,215$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 29c | 1,022$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 32c | 944.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 63c | 930$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 922.18$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.44 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 60c | 919.67$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed No | 63c | 688$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…4d7fbacked Yes | 37c | 688$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 69c | 609.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 587$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…6ab3backed No | 67c | 507.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 411$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked No | 63c | 410$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 69c | 380$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 379.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 360.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 72c | 326.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 46c | 299.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…1779backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 31c | 281$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…2027backed Yes | 34c | 270.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 39c | 242.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 61c | 242.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…8c14backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 34c | 233.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 53c | 226.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…6343backed Yes | 35c | 219.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 67c | 195.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…eb15backed No | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 79c | 183$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 67c | 181.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 35c | 178.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 67c | 175.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 67c | 171.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 67c | 167.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed No | 67c | 167.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Yes | 33c | 165.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…5f4dbacked Yes | 34c | 163.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 163.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…330abacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…f248backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…d7a0backed No | 66c | 138.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…35e5backed Yes | 20c | 138.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 67c | 108.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 71c | 107.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 32c | 106.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 105.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 67c | 102.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…2d8dbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…0d3abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 97.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…3767backed No | 64c | 95.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked No | 64c | 88.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?this page
- Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.