WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971bb38bc8f25a09edaedf861df07d1e67eb0fe823cd575e7d703d7260e05d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d8c…82a0backed Lynx | 72c | 13,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…5c51backed Fever | 28c | 13,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 23c | 11,796$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,068.81 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lynx | 42c | 9,975$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.04 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 46c | 9,610$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.44 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 73c | 5,870$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.48 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Fever | 20c | 4,054$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Lynx | 73c | 3,423$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lynx | 57c | 3,367$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lynx | 70c | 3,215$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Lynx | 78c | 2,998$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Fever | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Fever | 19c | 2,244$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Fever | 23c | 1,706$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Lynx | 31c | 1,701$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lynx | 66c | 1,485$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Lynx | 76c | 1,481$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lynx | 79c | 1,370$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Fever | 52c | 1,335$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.23 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lynx | 28c | 1,300$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Fever | 62c | 1,298$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lynx | 70c | 1,258$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.23 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Fever | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 48c | 1,250$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lynx | 78c | 1,115$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lynx | 47c | 987.52$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lynx | 80c | 973.85$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 79c | 886$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.94 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 67c | 700$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lynx | 70c | 699.16$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Fever | 69c | 650$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Lynx | 31c | 641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Fever | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fever | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Lynx | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Lynx | 74c | 380$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 29c | 358.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Lynx | 52c | 306.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynx | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lynx | 63c | 258.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…4532backed Fever | 19c | 245.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 28c | 222$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fever | 19c | 214.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Fever | 28c | 196.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Fever | 21c | 148.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Lynx | 32c | 122.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Fever | 75c | 113.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Fever | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lynx | 56c | 96.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Fever | 27c | 88.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Fever | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lynx | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Fever | 25c | 72.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Fever | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Lynx | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Lynx | 29c | 48.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Lynx | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.