NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65effac2b0f9876d3a00110a7b31f5f75183f87ab4287c96420bc50dc12c0334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Warriors | 36c | 15,415$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,912.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 61c | 9,235$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.1 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 62c | 8,879$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Jazz | 38c | 4,900$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Jazz | 52c | 2,417$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 29c | 2,050$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Jazz | 76c | 1,976$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Jazz | 52c | 1,916$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,785$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Jazz | 43c | 1,728$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 38c | 1,635$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Jazz | 45c | 1,615$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Jazz | 71c | 1,582$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.15 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 33c | 1,508$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.45 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jazz | 67c | 1,449$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 38c | 1,344$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.55 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jazz | 72c | 999.97$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.98 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Warriors | 33c | 915.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 49c | 790.37$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…2442backed Jazz | 32c | 764.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Jazz | 67c | 754.62$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Warriors | 47c | 652.02$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Jazz | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Warriors | 49c | 541.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Jazz | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Warriors | 27c | 440.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Jazz | 70c | 400.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Jazz | 58c | 382.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Warriors | 30c | 369.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Warriors | 25c | 318.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Warriors | 69c | 318.4$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Jazz | 74c | 318.15$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jazz | 42c | 297.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Warriors | 30c | 233.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Jazz | 63c | 209.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Jazz | 46c | 179.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…1bb6backed Warriors | 26c | 176.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Jazz | 68c | 169.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Jazz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Jazz | 73c | 127.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Warriors | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Jazz | 69c | 116.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…48dfbacked Jazz | 75c | 115$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Jazz | 70c | 107.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Jazz | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Warriors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Warriors | 30c | 101.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Jazz | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Warriors | 26c | 99.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Warriors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Jazz | 66c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Warriors | 30c | 93.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Jazz | 32c | 76.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Warriors | 35c | 70.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Warriors | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Jazz | 66c | 64.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Warriors | 32c | 62.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Warriors | 28c | 62.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…7ed3backed Jazz | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Jazz | 76c | 52.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Jazz | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Warriors | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Jazz | 72c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Jazz | 72c | 47.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…f363backed Jazz | 72c | 43.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Warriors | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Warriors | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…b8c3backed Jazz | 43c | 41.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Warriors | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Jazz | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Jazz | 74c | 39.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Jazz | 64c | 38.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Warriors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Warriors | 52c | 35.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Jazz | 69c | 34.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Jazz | 68c | 34.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Jazz | 68c | 32.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Jazz | 75c | 31.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Jazz | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…c7c9backed Jazz | 74c | 23.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Jazz | 62c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.