NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa9c0a1bfc4c3936a9379dae82f216f47c29b5e848f6a8619cc15d371fd0265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Kings, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Ducks | 50c | 207,309$103,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,263.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 50c | 184,359$92,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,179.69 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 56c | 134,099$74,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,730.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kings | 52c | 29,864$15,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,529.33 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 47c | 24,775$11,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,130.59 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 48c | 20,114$9,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,448.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 44c | 16,162$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050.49 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks | 44c | 11,296$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.66 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 45c | 9,444$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.44 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 46c | 8,994$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.02 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Ducks | 45c | 8,890$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ducks | 44c | 8,575$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.09 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Ducks | 29c | 6,235$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.48 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 52c | 6,185$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Ducks | 47c | 5,990$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 47c | 5,245$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.68 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Ducks | 45c | 3,781$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.55 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 45c | 3,467$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.67 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 47c | 2,879$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.05 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 44c | 2,817$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.14 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 63c | 2,565$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.12 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 53c | 2,559$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 54c | 2,215$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.74 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kings | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 59c | 2,027$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,021$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.35 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 45c | 2,021$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.55 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 52c | 2,001$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.1 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Ducks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kings | 54c | 1,926$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kings | 1c | 1,880$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 44c | 1,831$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.55 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 53c | 1,765$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.15 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 62c | 1,689$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.7 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kings | 56c | 1,629$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.92 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.97 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Ducks | 46c | 1,583$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.82 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 45c | 1,578$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.78 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 44c | 1,546$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.47 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…43e2backed Ducks | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…a8bcbacked Kings | 54c | 1,489$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings | 56c | 1,341$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 45c | 1,251$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.23 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,104$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.94 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 35c | 1,080$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.13 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.66 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 52c | 1,030$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Ducks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Ducks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Ducks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Ducks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kings | 53c | 921.51$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Kings | 56c | 891.07$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 44c | 880$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…e484backed Ducks | 47c | 822.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…b012backed Kings | 54c | 822.22$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 51c | 817$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.03 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 51c | 810.59$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Ducks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 48c | 798$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ducks | 44c | 766.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.32 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Ducks | 45c | 750$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Kings | 56c | 708.93$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kings | 50c | 701.63$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.44 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Ducks | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Ducks | 44c | 639.13$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 54c | 559$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Kings | 56c | 512.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kings | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 48c | 481.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ducks | 45c | 449.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.43 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Ducks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Kings | 52c | 435.59$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.77 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 21c | 428.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Kings | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Ducks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 33c | 391$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 45c | 386.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Ducks | 45c | 378.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Kings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 48c | 365.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Ducks | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Kings | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Kings | 54c | 280.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Ducks | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 34c | 262.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Ducksthis page
- Kings vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.