TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monacoof Monaco, Olimpia Milano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,528 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Monaco56c341,689$191,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,367.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Olimpia Milano44c175,000$77,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olimpia Milano44c143,017$62,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,939.4812042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Monaco57c27,419$15,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,793.531464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Olimpia Milano44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Olimpia Milano43c15,301$6,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,579.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Monaco58c11,921$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Olimpia Milano44c8,933$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.392454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Olimpia Milano44c6,632$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Olimpia Milano40c4,311$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.023336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano44c3,695$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Monaco56c3,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Monaco57c3,427$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Olimpia Milano44c3,192$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.4950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Monaco53c2,777$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Olimpia Milano61c2,474$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.7831651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Monaco56c2,366$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Olimpia Milano54c2,094$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Monaco57c1,860$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.752437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Olimpia Milano46c1,844$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.276844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Monaco56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano46c1,676$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.313147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Monaco55c1,259$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.612263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano61c1,228$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Olimpia Milano45c1,168$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3421444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Olimpia Milano44c1,114$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.142152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Olimpia Milano45c1,088$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Olimpia Milano47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.51361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Monaco50c958.27$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Monaco56c957.53$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.941855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Olimpia Milano14c957.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.741855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Olimpia Milano46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano69c756.44$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9154251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Monaco54c736.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Olimpia Milano47c701.03$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.487159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Olimpia Milano46c692.45$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.25540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+93.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Olimpia Milano45c661.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Monaco19c620.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.681428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano58c605.88$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.5536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Monaco46c525.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.135642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Monaco54c511.11$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Monaco54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Olimpia Milano44c470.35$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.952030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Monaco56c462.5$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.58037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Monaco33c434.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8426544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco55c428.24$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8127557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano44c398.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Olimpia Milano47c386.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7726935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Olimpia Milano48c373.88$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.086929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Monaco56c354.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Monaco53c337.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0431446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Olimpia Milano44c329.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+127.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano46c307.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4243543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Monaco56c259.59$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Monaco53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Olimpia Milano61c245.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.463834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Olimpia Milano44c244.8$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Olimpia Milano46c225$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Olimpia Milano45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Monaco11c209.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.09520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Monaco56c203$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.327100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Monaco50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Monaco54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Monaco54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Monaco51c196.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.213250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Olimpia Milano45c187.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Monaco54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Olimpia Milano44c181.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.187741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Monaco55c180.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.334971.4%35 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…6941backed Monaco52c176.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…2f5ebacked Olimpia Milano47c175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf249…7798backed Olimpia Milano48c175$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…d6dfbacked Olimpia Milano48c174$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…26c7backed Olimpia Milano48c172.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Monaco53c169.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb724…f418backed Monaco52c166.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…7063backed Olimpia Milano48c166$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e14…913ebacked Monaco52c165.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf9…eab4backed Monaco52c165.08$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3344…9c67backed Olimpia Milano48c163.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Olimpia Milano31c163.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8420936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf95…7a3fbacked Monaco52c162.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab59…2daabacked Olimpia Milano48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8886…ab66backed Monaco52c159.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a07…3c81backed Monaco52c159.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…6c86backed Olimpia Milano48c158$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…a920backed Monaco52c155.94$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed97…0851backed Monaco52c155.72$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano58c154$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdff…cb61backed Olimpia Milano48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498a…73e2backed Olimpia Milano48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3267…edfdbacked Olimpia Milano48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x607e…4b97backed Monaco52c150.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bea…3762backed Monaco52c150.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0c…28eebacked Olimpia Milano48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e41…2bf2backed Olimpia Milano48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…40fcbacked Monaco52c149.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe8…9b4cbacked Monaco52c148.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Monaco57c147.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.594136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a7…596ebacked Monaco52c147.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.