WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1cf2da1f57dbec4f20317402d747a1dd37e932ea3eac4e0ab3cb243fb08fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Fever, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 32c | 5,116$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.89 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 18c | 4,100$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.87 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valkyries | 18c | 3,606$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.29 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Fever | 59c | 3,194$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 16c | 1,000$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 13c | 742.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Fever | 16c | 402.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 78c | 391.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Fever | 67c | 228.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 63c | 190$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 15c | 150.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Valkyries | 14c | 131.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Fever | 20c | 126.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 26c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Valkyries | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Fever | 36c | 87.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…1985backed Valkyries | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Fever | 25c | 72.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…abfebacked Fever | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Fever | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Fever | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Valkyries | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Fever | 57c | 21.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.