Champions League · resolved market
Will Monterrey beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a48236067f875ac488e4424c6d86a98d0d95373e779250578313b90028e649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 2,299$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.7 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 36c | 2,089$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.94 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,497$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,088$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 14c | 783$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 73c | 682.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 15c | 535.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b5e4backed Yes | 10c | 383.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 12c | 369.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 353.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 14c | 325$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 72c | 254$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 31c | 163.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 18c | 110.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 14c | 99.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 67c | 52.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…d50abacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 62c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monterrey beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?No won
- Will Monterrey vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.