Champions League · resolved market
Will Monterrey vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x151a0d56a4a0af57c41442c217bc6832debc0475fb57f67bd83736f3aa48c99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 3,521$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.02 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed No | 75c | 3,316$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 1,742$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.73 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 69c | 1,599$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 1,521$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.29 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 27c | 1,334$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.67 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 68c | 528.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 73c | 254$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 70c | 227$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 25c | 117.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 23c | 117.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 67c | 111.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 50c | 98.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 27c | 79.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 39.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 73c | 26.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked No | 78c | 18.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monterrey vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?No won
- Will Monterrey beat Inter Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.