Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241cc32a759767125f274bc3b386da1974f72b8ef9431881ab7a96316601f30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof FC Bayern Munchen, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,930 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed BC Dubai | 75c | 1,361$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked BC Dubai | 62c | 1,217$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.08 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…cbb2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 1,114$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed BC Dubai | 69c | 875.69$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked BC Dubai | 52c | 853.66$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 774.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 64c | 736.3$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed BC Dubai | 69c | 730.24$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BC Dubai | 51c | 699.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.61 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 678.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed BC Dubai | 52c | 642.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 536.84$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked BC Dubai | 51c | 523.56$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 408.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 322$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 299.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 293.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Bayern Munchen | 46c | 268.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed FC Bayern Munchen | 58c | 267.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked BC Dubai | 43c | 258.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 255$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed BC Dubai | 72c | 227$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked BC Dubai | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 185.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 182.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed BC Dubai | 47c | 172.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BC Dubai | 71c | 156.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed BC Dubai | 70c | 156$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 152.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed BC Dubai | 52c | 146$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed FC Bayern Munchen | 27c | 144.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 43c | 142.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 137.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked BC Dubai | 56c | 130.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed BC Dubai | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 100.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed BC Dubai | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 97.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BC Dubai | 51c | 95.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 92.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 26c | 71.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed FC Bayern Munchen | 26c | 71.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked BC Dubai | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…21f4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…9ad9backed BC Dubai | 49c | 52.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BC Dubai | 72c | 47.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BC Dubai | 65c | 47.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed BC Dubai | 47c | 46.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 43c | 43.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…af50backed FC Bayern Munchen | 36c | 41.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…8e46backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…fe66backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 39.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed BC Dubai | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed BC Dubai | 50c | 30.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…5ce4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked BC Dubai | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BC Dubai | 69c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed BC Dubai | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.