TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Nationals vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Nationals, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc605…d372backed Angels58c46,791$27,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,692.728641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals33c10,227$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.422,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nationals35c9,975$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.799,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals48c6,009$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.321,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Nationals61c5,908$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.8114052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals37c4,887$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.5786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals46c4,523$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.471,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nationals33c4,470$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.561,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals47c4,394$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.012,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Nationals48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Nationals49c3,773$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals1c3,735$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Angels55c3,620$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.8329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Angels52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Nationals48c3,485$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.9721941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf513…8297backed Angels54c3,191$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels51c3,060$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.431,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Nationals1c3,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Nationals8c2,299$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Angels52c2,290$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.3818748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nationals44c2,268$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.7554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals1c2,211$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.494754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Angels67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.471855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed Nationals43c1,986$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.725642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Angels56c1,912$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.11877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Angels53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7928646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals1c1,770$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.458762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Nationals20c1,727$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.432941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Angels53c1,725$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.753148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nationals47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Angels52c1,491$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.476258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Nationals37c1,400$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Angels55c1,095$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.4938455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nationals25c1,042$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x123a…3260backed Angels53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.741435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Nationals32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Angels52c999.95$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9751151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals40c956$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8432042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Angels53c928.26$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2828447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals31c862.1$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals43c848$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Nationals42c841.24$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3214966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1162…1a5bbacked Nationals48c826.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Nationals49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…047fbacked Nationals5c774.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516851.8%87 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Angels54c731.48$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.4819852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Nationals28c713.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Angels58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6632832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…471ebacked Nationals29c686.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Angels54c670.76$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5515151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Nationals42c605.68$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.755633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Nationals21c600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Angels68c523.13$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6212640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels39c505.29$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels53c500.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Nationals34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.944320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nationals29c494.49$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.61,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals52c480.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Angels52c477.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.439332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals47c447$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.671,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Nationals48c413.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Nationals49c408.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9911446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Angels51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19620448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4847…a5c2backed Nationals41c390.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3619348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Angels54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3728453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals46c334.46$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.491,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb7…6479backed Angels52c315.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.814257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels64c301.25$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.494,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed Angels77c298.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.73865.8%25 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Angels67c279.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.396443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Nationals44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Angels63c249.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.58454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d42…787fbacked Nationals6c245.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…f924backed Angels62c231.02$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.112259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Angels52c230.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.041,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Nationals47c229.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9518247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Angels52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9617244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Nationals48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Angels54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1923938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Angels54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1931356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nationals47c181.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.275,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Angels56c179.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4614753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…e37cbacked Angels64c176.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.01757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nationals40c175.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.156,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Angels69c165.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.76743.3%29 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x979e…048fbacked Angels79c155$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Angels65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Nationals39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597560%45 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals46c142.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6547348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b0…c9c8backed Nationals42c141.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc4…f94fbacked Angels71c140.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.783450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Angels73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9911357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nationals46c132.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.611,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.