MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74477c312fc7570482cb06cf449e3b195b5f85cb6a6345abbfa798942c649abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Phillies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Phillies | 57c | 48,344$27,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,556.31 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Phillies | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 50c | 16,705$8,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,430.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 44c | 14,984$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 5c | 14,267$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 43c | 10,997$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.64 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 7c | 8,262$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 43c | 6,634$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 47c | 6,321$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 43c | 6,300$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.94 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 43c | 5,555$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.35 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 51c | 5,503$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 44c | 5,458$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Phillies | 56c | 5,037$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.54 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 55c | 4,712$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 46c | 4,675$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.3 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 55c | 4,550$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.27 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 47c | 4,241$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.24 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 35c | 4,140$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.05 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Phillies | 46c | 2,986$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.94 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Phillies | 56c | 2,571$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 43c | 2,383$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants | 77c | 2,312$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.03 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Giants | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 46c | 2,139$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 53c | 2,070$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Giants | 60c | 1,910$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…15e5backed Giants | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 43c | 1,826$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 44c | 1,707$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Giants | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.7 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Giants | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 40c | 1,156$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.96 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Phillies | 10c | 1,134$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 50c | 1,103$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Phillies | 57c | 1,063$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Phillies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…e4a6backed Phillies | 57c | 970$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…52d4backed Phillies | 57c | 930$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Phillies | 52c | 833.06$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Phillies | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Phillies | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Giants | 46c | 792.07$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 57c | 790$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Phillies | 55c | 761.77$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.69 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Giants | 45c | 695.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.75 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 58c | 652.8$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants | 44c | 551.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 57c | 523.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 16c | 521.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Giants | 57c | 502.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 54c | 450$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 57c | 436.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Giants | 46c | 435.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Giants | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed Phillies | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 58c | 389.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.81 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 44c | 386$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Phillies | 20c | 346.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Giants | 43c | 337.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.17 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Phillies | 45c | 329.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 44c | 318.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Giants | 43c | 307$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Phillies | 52c | 303.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 47c | 288.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 55c | 287$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 5c | 284$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Giants | 45c | 283.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Giants | 75c | 281.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 65c | 265.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 43c | 265$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Phillies | 37c | 251.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Giants | 63c | 245.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 33c | 244.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 55c | 221.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.