TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof Sashi Esport, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1b7…fdf1backed Sashi Esport31c23,652$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE72c6,265$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.147,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ecf6backed Sashi Esport71c4,127$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.187851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked KOLESIE75c3,044$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.642,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE75c2,951$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.275,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE60c2,505$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.891,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE61c2,263$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.342,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed KOLESIE50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed KOLESIE55c1,898$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7512154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Sashi Esport50c1,595$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sashi Esport51c1,570$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.831,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed KOLESIE29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed KOLESIE60c1,498$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.6410437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Sashi Esport15c1,462$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3112627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE57c1,296$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.372,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sashi Esport45c1,271$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.881,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sashi Esport47c1,216$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.481,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Sashi Esport43c1,137$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.312,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed KOLESIE56c1,068$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47115646.8%73 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed KOLESIE73c1,065$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Sashi Esport49c1,005$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.513435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Sashi Esport1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f9…d198backed KOLESIE32c974.81$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.663234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked KOLESIE68c907.59$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0612448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5e…ba7ebacked KOLESIE34c860.16$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.171747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sashi Esport8c735.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.511,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE69c729.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6620156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sashi Esport48c728.06$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6348548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed KOLESIE52c696$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1128355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed KOLESIE46c650.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7728434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked KOLESIE60c599.34$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1439072.3%282 W · 108 L+37.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed KOLESIE49c557.62$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed KOLESIE64c535$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1245754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport51c530.38$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.486,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked KOLESIE75c506.67$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6722838.2%87 W · 141 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Sashi Esport60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Sashi Esport46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE31c434.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.672,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Sashi Esport50c406.22$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7247447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed KOLESIE50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked KOLESIE50c398.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3122751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed KOLESIE51c390.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8740449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Sashi Esport50c371.73$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed KOLESIE73c352.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3540857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE51c352$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.485,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked KOLESIE75c347.6$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.934264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked KOLESIE75c346.03$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5133060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Sashi Esport44c344.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sashi Esport40c337.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2443640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE54c327.9$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.224,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Sashi Esport48c322.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0231647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE45c321.01$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.323,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Sashi Esport64c311.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked KOLESIE43c311$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2717042.4%72 W · 98 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked KOLESIE50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14058343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sashi Esport28c260.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.022,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed KOLESIE70c258.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8891743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Sashi Esport48c257.04$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.585351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed KOLESIE75c255$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7548635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KOLESIE27c251.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1168059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Sashi Esport71c247.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked KOLESIE49c245.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9691245.8%418 W · 494 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed KOLESIE50c236.84$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4236649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6004…d473backed Sashi Esport42c234.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1157…8e4dbacked KOLESIE66c227.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.46988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a49…4985backed KOLESIE75c227.11$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.392250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked Sashi Esport21c218.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE56c216.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.131,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac1…df98backed Sashi Esport51c214.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.582955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE51c213.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.192,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked KOLESIE45c211.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1240635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Sashi Esport33c209.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2118736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed KOLESIE39c207.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5623654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Sashi Esport33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.351,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Sashi Esport39c195$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6535131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked KOLESIE53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.318846.8%88 W · 100 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE58c189.01$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.115,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Sashi Esport50c187.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.86540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Sashi Esport37c183.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.448143.2%35 W · 46 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE77c183.36$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed KOLESIE53c181.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2938838.7%150 W · 238 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked KOLESIE55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.153040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked KOLESIE64c170.77$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1374653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE53c170$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.463,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE50c166.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.874,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed KOLESIE68c159.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7623956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked KOLESIE50c156.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.137647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sashi Esport46c153.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.471,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE67c147.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed1c…36fabacked Sashi Esport71c140.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5a…656cbacked KOLESIE72c138.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.422853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked KOLESIE78c138$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1815069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed KOLESIE50c137.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.759140.7%37 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked KOLESIE57c132.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed KOLESIE74c132.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.656752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked KOLESIE75c131.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked KOLESIE48c124.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.567350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sashi Esport32c122.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.662,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE48c121.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.212,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Sashi Esport45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5456941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.