Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7653d38bb5cde18b6b43699e9dcf025b56c2b81fbe226b7447f75bea91551bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Execration | 78c | 17,928$14,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.23 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 15,145$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mentality Monster | 25c | 12,646$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.91 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mentality Monster | 25c | 11,837$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.22 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster | 24c | 10,759$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.75 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mentality Monster | 25c | 10,487$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.02 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Execration | 77c | 6,261$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.9 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Execration | 73c | 5,455$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.77 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mentality Monster | 23c | 5,198$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.88 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 78c | 4,851$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Execration | 64c | 4,757$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.89 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Execration | 71c | 3,868$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Mentality Monster | 29c | 3,432$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Mentality Monster | 17c | 3,275$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.43 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Mentality Monster | 32c | 2,094$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.63 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Mentality Monster | 11c | 1,935$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Execration | 66c | 1,619$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 71c | 1,507$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 18c | 1,458$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Execration | 75c | 1,450$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.13 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Execration | 68c | 1,326$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 65c | 1,258$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.64 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Execration | 74c | 1,255$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Mentality Monster | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Execration | 69c | 1,100$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Execration | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Execration | 71c | 990.14$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Execration | 78c | 893.53$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mentality Monster | 16c | 874.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 67c | 833$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.41 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Execration | 78c | 831.76$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Execration | 74c | 802.19$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mentality Monster | 36c | 764.35$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mentality Monster | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…212abacked Mentality Monster | 12c | 729.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 75c | 722.85$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…4cd7backed Mentality Monster | 23c | 704.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Execration | 74c | 682.49$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Mentality Monster | 19c | 679.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Mentality Monster | 9c | 656.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Mentality Monster | 27c | 654.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Execration | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Execration | 77c | 637.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Execration | 68c | 613$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Execration | 64c | 610.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Mentality Monster | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Execration | 77c | 583.68$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mentality Monster | 19c | 578.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Mentality Monster | 33c | 577.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Mentality Monster | 31c | 574.38$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Mentality Monster | 24c | 552.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Execration | 66c | 545$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Execration | 73c | 544.35$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 515.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Mentality Monster | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Execration | 69c | 435.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Mentality Monster | 22c | 388.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Mentality Monster | 26c | 383.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Execration | 74c | 372.97$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mentality Monster | 25c | 367.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Mentality Monster | 30c | 335.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Execration | 78c | 319.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Execration | 65c | 314.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Execration | 79c | 312.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Mentality Monster | 28c | 310.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3bbfbacked Mentality Monster | 26c | 303.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Mentality Monster | 32c | 300.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mentality Monster | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Execration | 69c | 290.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 74c | 289.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mentality Monster | 30c | 269$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Execration | 69c | 258.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…4123backed Mentality Monster | 34c | 255$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Execration | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Mentality Monster | 23c | 239.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Mentality Monster | 5c | 230.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Execration | 78c | 224.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…24a0backed Mentality Monster | 17c | 216.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b13backed Execration | 69c | 210.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Execration | 73c | 200.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Execration | 68c | 200.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Execration | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Execration | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Mentality Monster | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed Mentality Monster | 21c | 194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Mentality Monster | 15c | 193.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Mentality Monster | 24c | 184$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Execration | 79c | 183.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Mentality Monster | 17c | 172.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Execration | 78c | 171.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mentality Monster | 28c | 164.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Mentality Monster | 32c | 162.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Execration | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Mentality Monster | 24c | 159.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Mentality Monster | 20c | 159.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Execration | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Mentality Monster | 28c | 151.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Execration | 77c | 145.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5)Mentality Monster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.