Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fffe102aa5883c6add6d6f306e7c79d32005636a6e0e9f11073c459ad1432c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof Execration, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Execration | 0c | 27,320$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Mentality Monster | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.91 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Execration | 58c | 5,448$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.43 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Mentality Monster | 38c | 5,003$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.15 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Execration | 58c | 4,109$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.06 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Execration | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.9 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Execration | 56c | 2,968$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.65 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 2,861$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.35 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Mentality Monster | 40c | 2,632$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Execration | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Execration | 52c | 2,114$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.71 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 1,740$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.69 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Mentality Monster | 37c | 1,579$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.54 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Execration | 60c | 1,502$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mentality Monster | 45c | 1,147$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 1,122$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.49 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Mentality Monster | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Execration | 71c | 1,091$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.13 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Execration | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 1,004$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Mentality Monster | 43c | 1,001$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.56 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 52c | 1,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Mentality Monster | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Execration | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Execration | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Mentality Monster | 52c | 940.69$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Execration | 16c | 920.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 65c | 875.5$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.29 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Execration | 56c | 824.56$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 818.7$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Mentality Monster | 30c | 761.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Mentality Monster | 41c | 674.33$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.33 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 69c | 619.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Execration | 40c | 599.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 63c | 540.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Execration | 77c | 520.08$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Execration | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Execration | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Execration | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Execration | 62c | 498.5$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 46c | 494.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Mentality Monster | 48c | 455.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 46c | 447.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Mentality Monster | 32c | 440.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mentality Monster | 58c | 438$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Execration | 70c | 423.41$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 414.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1d99backed Execration | 12c | 364.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 59c | 364.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Mentality Monster | 63c | 361.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Execration | 62c | 355.26$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Mentality Monster | 42c | 348.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mentality Monster | 59c | 343.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 336.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 30c | 329.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 325.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 324.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Mentality Monster | 31c | 314.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Execration | 35c | 288.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Execration | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Mentality Monster | 38c | 282.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Execration | 54c | 281.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mentality Monster | 72c | 280.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 271.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 246.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Execration | 48c | 246.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Execration | 63c | 220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…53d8backed Execration | 55c | 219.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Execration | 63c | 213.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Mentality Monster | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Mentality Monster | 30c | 207$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Mentality Monster | 42c | 191.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Execration | 65c | 173.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Execration | 16c | 173.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Execration | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 168.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 29c | 166.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Mentality Monster | 44c | 162.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Execration | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 158.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 157.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Execration | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Execration | 35c | 141.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Execration | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Execration | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Execration | 62c | 129.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Mentality Monster | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Execration | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Mentality Monster | 59c | 117.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Execration | 35c | 116.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 49c | 109.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Execration | 10c | 103.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Mentality Monster | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Execration | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Execration | 63c | 98.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Execration | 33c | 97.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Execration | 52c | 95.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Execration | 52c | 95.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5)Mentality Monster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.