TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TEC Esportsof XLG Gaming, TEC Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd888…3c9fbacked TEC Esports63c36,529$22,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,622.9312155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eaa…2094backed TEC Esports32c7,934$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.461216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed XLG Gaming61c6,043$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.4946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked XLG Gaming2c5,777$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed TEC Esports26c4,033$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.5919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TEC Esports16c4,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9641734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked XLG Gaming59c3,873$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.11883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x47e6…aea9backed XLG Gaming79c3,343$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.812661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming60c3,085$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.2740944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9c…f546backed XLG Gaming67c3,006$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.8430%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming66c2,607$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.1315358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed XLG Gaming71c2,500$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.997656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming73c2,395$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.571,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TEC Esports30c2,092$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.81,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed XLG Gaming70c2,054$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.6222344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming72c1,870$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked TEC Esports30c1,698$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.2715431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed XLG Gaming72c1,500$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming28c1,459$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.531,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked XLG Gaming58c1,353$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.386442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked TEC Esports39c1,302$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.7528743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming54c1,213$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.0479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked XLG Gaming67c1,193$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.414955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed TEC Esports43c1,170$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports19c1,134$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1744342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed XLG Gaming5c1,126$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.674450%22 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed XLG Gaming58c1,020$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3834356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed XLG Gaming41c1,003$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0816547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming43c1,001$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed XLG Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-92.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed TEC Esports25c989.98$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3832245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming41c984.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3255348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming64c960.17$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.3581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed XLG Gaming15c932.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9316033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked TEC Esports71c931.81$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports16c887.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.9155152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed XLG Gaming48c861.53$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.959439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked TEC Esports41c859.55$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TEC Esports38c857.59$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming61c825.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TEC Esports21c818.1$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7925336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked TEC Esports48c811.97$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming73c716.25$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed XLG Gaming49c706.72$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.295532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked XLG Gaming61c682.75$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2610628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked TEC Esports35c665.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.943132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming70c630.15$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.471,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked TEC Esports16c621$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.644818.8%9 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed TEC Esports44c616.19$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.184856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked TEC Esports16c614.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.9724551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed XLG Gaming2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed XLG Gaming2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked XLG Gaming78c592.69$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming49c570$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1ecbbacked TEC Esports27c565.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.033540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed XLG Gaming54c559.51$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8714959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked XLG Gaming72c555.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed TEC Esports61c546.76$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.274843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked XLG Gaming62c517.63$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1842140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked TEC Esports36c510.77$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.775556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed TEC Esports16c506$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3617853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked TEC Esports15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked TEC Esports20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+57.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed TEC Esports45c411.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1613225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed TEC Esports16c398.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed TEC Esports24c398.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3237545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked XLG Gaming53c377.94$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…0a0dbacked XLG Gaming62c377.62$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed TEC Esports25c343.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2119240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed XLG Gaming66c329.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21810655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a5…4ec9backed XLG Gaming67c329.35$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed XLG Gaming73c316.51$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5512755.9%71 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed TEC Esports15c315.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4225453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed XLG Gaming65c314$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.19046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked TEC Esports50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked XLG Gaming29c300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.938548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked TEC Esports51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed TEC Esports49c287.13$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4516144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked XLG Gaming74c271.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed XLG Gaming64c268.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.457156.3%40 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked XLG Gaming53c268.78$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5212056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming59c258.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5770043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed XLG Gaming63c251.58$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked TEC Esports28c249.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+65.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed TEC Esports42c241.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18dd…cd39backed TEC Esports44c238.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming49c229$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed XLG Gaming44c227.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TEC Esports35c221.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked XLG Gaming56c204.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked TEC Esports15c201.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.096347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports14c197.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TEC Esports56c184$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.261,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed XLG Gaming63c179.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.598444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked XLG Gaming43c179.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.477143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed TEC Esports17c176.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.327544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked XLG Gaming74c175.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed9…c813backed TEC Esports23c175.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked TEC Esports45c174$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0920138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked XLG Gaming37c172.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6415833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.