Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606a82d6c1dc6901fe1b304d476b00d998fe4b3534bf0944dc8653cb303c0d62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 65c | 408.57$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.57 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 68c | 309.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…20ccbacked Over | 32c | 279.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…1815backed Over | 40c | 162.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…98d1backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 34c | 140.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 45c | 130.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 52c | 114.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 38c | 109.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 67c | 108.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…c6bebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 90.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 28c | 57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…a170backed Over | 39c | 53.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 46c | 53.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 61c | 45.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 59c | 45.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 55c | 40.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…1a05backed Under | 66c | 34.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 66c | 28.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Under | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 65c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…b04fbacked Under | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.