TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,542 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11e5…337ebacked NRG50c13,400$6,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.775642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Nongshim RedForce41c7,805$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Nongshim RedForce66c6,481$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.932951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nongshim RedForce68c6,411$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.6121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG21c4,866$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.712729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Nongshim RedForce72c4,255$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.5833759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG50c2,927$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.9826051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed NRG61c2,698$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.625250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG33c2,235$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.521,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce57c2,103$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.8568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim RedForce52c2,002$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.2565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Nongshim RedForce73c1,793$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.623847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG60c1,650$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9133346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG12c1,497$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG59c1,404$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.388751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked NRG34c1,160$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce44c1,105$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7510956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim RedForce67c1,058$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7128541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed NRG39c1,033$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.312846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed NRG1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked NRG57c840$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.83943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed NRG45c836.51$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3214652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Nongshim RedForce75c796.44$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.445162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG37c790.6$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72b…c108backed Nongshim RedForce64c780.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG34c588$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.925244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed NRG23c556.79$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.914332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed NRG37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked NRG47c529.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.084755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked NRG41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8216639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed Nongshim RedForce41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+89.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG23c481.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed NRG33c450.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Nongshim RedForce40c445$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2671060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed NRG36c418.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f05…fa4bbacked NRG28c406.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Nongshim RedForce45c382$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.943834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed NRG60c366.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Nongshim RedForce60c330.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Nongshim RedForce39c311$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7119157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7aeb…01c2backed NRG34c304.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.131060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed NRG61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG26c281.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Nongshim RedForce64c278.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.82857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb218…f030backed Nongshim RedForce72c263.72$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed NRG61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.518049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG60c246.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14828247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nongshim RedForce68c213.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.54963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Nongshim RedForce68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4824457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a43…3aebbacked Nongshim RedForce80c203.52$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed NRG50c200.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Nongshim RedForce58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed NRG28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed NRG29c189.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked NRG8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked NRG28c181.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed NRG60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed NRG36c159.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.481723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91c…eb82backed NRG47c148.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c8…7013backed NRG12c146$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9718…2584backed NRG43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75130%0 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked NRG32c124.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9821240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked Nongshim RedForce58c119.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked NRG63c117.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9842051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed NRG36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Nongshim RedForce48c104.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.343467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG27c91.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fa…a8f4backed Nongshim RedForce79c82.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.548865.9%58 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb108…7212backed Nongshim RedForce41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25032%16 W · 34 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nongshim RedForce78c78.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2222455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG23c76.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7710959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked NRG34c73.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed NRG37c67.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76a9…2907backed NRG45c66.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Nongshim RedForce50c65.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed NRG37c57.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.136949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3783…b3edbacked NRG37c54.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b1…417cbacked Nongshim RedForce73c50.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+206%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafca…b822backed NRG21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed NRG60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451e…9ecfbacked NRG51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed NRG39c48.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fc…a448backed Nongshim RedForce67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…baa0backed Nongshim RedForce75c44.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+72%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked NRG46c43.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG25c43.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Nongshim RedForce46c43.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2614747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked NRG59c42.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG32c39.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xea69…0a9bbacked NRG51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Nongshim RedForce78c36.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked NRG60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…ffc2backed Nongshim RedForce69c34.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.761735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed NRG61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.