TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f05…fa4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$69.25
Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$12.94
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$62.23
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffsbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$9.36
Counter-Strike: Players vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$10.78
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$14.24
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$13.75
Counter-Strike: Players vs HereWeGoAgain - Map 1 Winnerbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.74
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$78.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.79
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76%+$35.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$42.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+54.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$3.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$321.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$82.49
Dota 2: Team Shpilit vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+123%+$34.03
Dota 2: Team Shpilit vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$31.08
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$39.18
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Group Abacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$14.03
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$7.92
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-5.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$23.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.