CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd673a330830df2d73a36a67504ac1d569070e4f14d30e0341c59695187c44ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nexusof Alliance, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,913 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 76c | 3,636$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.4 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nexus | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nexus | 26c | 1,270$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nexus | 40c | 1,124$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alliance | 63c | 1,120$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 38c | 1,108$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alliance | 63c | 1,029$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Alliance | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Alliance | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Nexus | 31c | 976.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.73 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Alliance | 54c | 538.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 71c | 525.25$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 75c | 520.33$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Nexus | 45c | 510.18$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nexus | 37c | 447.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nexus | 25c | 440.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.25 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Nexus | 23c | 439.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Alliance | 75c | 407.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Alliance | 58c | 366.33$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Nexus | 24c | 356.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 70c | 326.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed Nexus | 33c | 303.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Alliance | 35c | 302.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Nexus | 38c | 264.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nexus | 24c | 252.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Nexus | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Alliance | 78c | 238.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Alliance | 61c | 230.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Alliance | 44c | 229.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Alliance | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Alliance | 76c | 222.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Nexus | 69c | 218.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nexus | 24c | 205.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Alliance | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nexus | 46c | 194.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed Alliance | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nexus | 20c | 186$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 43c | 180.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Nexus | 70c | 158.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Nexus | 24c | 154.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nexus | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alliance | 67c | 132.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Alliance | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nexus | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Nexus | 24c | 115$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Alliance | 57c | 105.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nexus | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nexus | 36c | 99.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nexus | 35c | 99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nexus | 47c | 95.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nexus | 39c | 82.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nexus | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 78c | 75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Alliance | 62c | 71.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nexus | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 59c | 64.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Nexus | 49c | 60.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nexus | 20c | 59.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nexus | 55c | 56.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Alliance | 62c | 51.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alliance | 31c | 50.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nexus | 40c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nexus | 22c | 48.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Nexus | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Nexus | 32c | 47.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Alliance | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Alliance | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nexus | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Nexus | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nexus | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Nexus | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e10abacked Alliance | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff9…2d6abacked Alliance | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed Nexus | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Nexus | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…fa4bbacked Nexus | 45c | 25.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Alliance | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Alliance | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Alliance | 70c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Alliance | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.