TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof Leo Team, HOTU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,267 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed HOTU75c5,000$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Leo Team25c3,941$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.274546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed HOTU70c3,029$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.911365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team29c2,419$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Leo Team25c2,250$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed HOTU71c2,005$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.7531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team21c1,647$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.625,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Leo Team25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9911637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…fdfabacked Leo Team12c1,456$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed HOTU70c1,130$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1239245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed HOTU66c1,124$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.7985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU60c1,051$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.076,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Leo Team26c999.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Leo Team31c880.04$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.054337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU73c817.76$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aeb…01c2backed HOTU72c744.91$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Leo Team2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU62c649.67$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.513,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Leo Team27c590.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.451,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa404…c4b8backed HOTU73c589.04$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97c…5ec3backed Leo Team12c551$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Leo Team37c538.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HOTU64c506.08$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.763,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU61c456.34$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.424,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Leo Team2c450$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked HOTU71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Leo Team28c354.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.995335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Leo Team45c331.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Leo Team28c313.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5616738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Leo Team49c245.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU71c229.85$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.052,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Leo Team28c226.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.167034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed HOTU68c221.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.014959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed Leo Team47c214.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.892,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team33c205.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.065,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Leo Team16c191$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6438037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed HOTU53c181$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed HOTU70c179.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1241847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…47b9backed HOTU78c179.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.124757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Leo Team26c175$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Leo Team32c167.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9323858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked HOTU55c151.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.78366.3%55 W · 28 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Leo Team28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cc…a633backed HOTU70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Leo Team11c142$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Leo Team9c132.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Leo Team49c127.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6641054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Leo Team52c124.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4395849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Leo Team28c124.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.410651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked HOTU62c122.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8629547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team26c116.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.775,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leo Team26c116$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU61c112.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.721,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked HOTU62c111$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Leo Team38c106.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7726257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Leo Team43c106.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed HOTU13c105.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.897027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team27c105.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…03cdbacked HOTU72c102.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked HOTU73c102.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.578852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Leo Team38c101.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9911837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed HOTU79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2129647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd6…7275backed Leo Team27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-79.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Leo Team26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.539237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Leo Team20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Leo Team27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed HOTU74c96.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.464866.7%32 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU56c96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.149745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Leo Team39c92.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU57c92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0254346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Leo Team48c84.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team57c84.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Leo Team34c84.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6243239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked HOTU49c83.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4326046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed HOTU61c82.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Leo Team40c81.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6441640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f05…fa4bbacked HOTU57c81.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked HOTU74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Leo Team26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Leo Team60c71.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed HOTU58c71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1346344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team29c70.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Leo Team24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.914856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked HOTU74c69.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1214153.9%76 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Leo Team26c68.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Leo Team64c64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked HOTU75c63.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed HOTU66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.469732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Leo Team25c59.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed Leo Team33c58.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.944740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed HOTU22c58.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0730335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed HOTU66c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0427443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Leo Team32c54.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53729.7%11 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Leo Team39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team29c51.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…d031backed HOTU36c47.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.223850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed HOTU64c47.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1749766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed HOTU73c42.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c99…9b3ebacked Leo Team53c42.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.