Lol · resolved market

LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x289267e32b65e23c117e2d0bddf9a29b149a31963234d57b3b65d35b7590994c

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Witchcraftof Witchcraft, Baam Esports
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Baam Esports	47c	6,830$3,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,208.66	1,630	40.1%654 W · 976 L	+48.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Witchcraft	52c	4,073$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,953.91	283	61.5%174 W · 109 L	+18.0wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Witchcraft	66c	2,462$1,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.16	240	65%156 W · 84 L	+24.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Baam Esports	67c	2,394$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.39	483	53.4%258 W · 225 L	-19.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Baam Esports	3c	2,262$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.85	862	51.3%442 W · 420 L	+51.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf42…725ebacked Baam Esports	1c	2,054$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Witchcraft	30c	1,859$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,303.9	610	45.2%276 W · 334 L	+35.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Baam Esports	35c	1,776$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.08	1,295	45.1%584 W · 711 L	+49.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Baam Esports	7c	1,185$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	303	48.8%148 W · 155 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Baam Esports	49c	1,113$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.12	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Baam Esports	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.94	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Witchcraft	53c	941.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.68	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Baam Esports	6c	826.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	180	41.7%75 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2057…14eabacked Baam Esports	75c	680.95$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.71	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Baam Esports	37c	659.42$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.66	1,003	42.5%426 W · 577 L	-24.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Baam Esports	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Baam Esports	34c	588.61$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	664	37.2%247 W · 417 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Witchcraft	58c	442$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.31	103	56.3%58 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Witchcraft	67c	424.29$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.96	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Baam Esports	10c	416.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Baam Esports	18c	415.07$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	331	43.8%145 W · 186 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Baam Esports	29c	386.75$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.38	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Baam Esports	20c	360$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.78	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Witchcraft	60c	336.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.11	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Witchcraft	71c	306.38$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	362	60.5%219 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Witchcraft	49c	293.51$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.01	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Baam Esports	69c	280$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.2	1,183	52%615 W · 568 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Baam Esports	7c	279.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Baam Esports	61c	272.69$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.12	199	48.2%96 W · 103 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baam Esports	13c	227.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Baam Esports	34c	197$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Witchcraft	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	217	47%102 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Witchcraft	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	1,241	52.7%654 W · 587 L	+5.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Witchcraft	22c	150$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	440	42%185 W · 255 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Baam Esports	27c	148.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	997	47.1%470 W · 527 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Witchcraft	50c	126.02$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.02	801	50.7%406 W · 395 L	+48.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…f672backed Baam Esports	10c	118.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Witchcraft	54c	111.9$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.9	1,443	43.4%626 W · 817 L	+105.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Witchcraft	52c	101.87$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f05…fa4bbacked Witchcraft	71c	88.59$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84b1…9645backed Witchcraft	36c	83.35$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.35	110	50%55 W · 55 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baam Esports	21c	71.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Baam Esports	23c	67.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Baam Esports	46c	64.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Baam Esports	31c	62.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	242	51.7%125 W · 117 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Witchcraft	67c	44.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.86	821	61%501 W · 320 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Witchcraft	53c	43.46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.44	1,270	57%724 W · 546 L	+45.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Witchcraft	44c	37.37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Baam Esports	63c	35.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Baam Esports	32c	34.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Witchcraft	41c	34.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	219	53%116 W · 103 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1b…67b1backed Baam Esports	75c	33.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Witchcraft	70c	32.8$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Baam Esports	36c	30.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	-9.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Baam Esports	59c	30.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked Witchcraft	56c	30.28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	155	56.1%87 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Baam Esports	48c	25.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Baam Esports	42c	24.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	160	43.1%69 W · 91 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d2…f4d9backed Baam Esports	61c	23.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133f…f08abacked Witchcraft	50c	20.01$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	36cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs Baam Esports (+1.5)Witchcraft won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DWitchcraft won
LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 1 WinnerWitchcraft won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event