Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barça eSports vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9798c0e177061e58ac1a8c8d11950c940afaabbbbeadecb2544b13dfc3103b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof Barça eSports, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed DMG Esports | 47c | 2,972$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.42 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked DMG Esports | 38c | 2,653$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Barça eSports | 67c | 2,429$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.28 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Barça eSports | 72c | 1,531$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.03 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DMG Esports | 17c | 1,371$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.74 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed DMG Esports | 21c | 1,193$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.53 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Barça eSports | 45c | 1,025$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.74 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DMG Esports | 33c | 954.81$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.1 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barça eSports | 54c | 934$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed DMG Esports | 23c | 879.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.38 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Barça eSports | 41c | 714$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Barça eSports | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Barça eSports | 62c | 537.15$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.51 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Barça eSports | 67c | 449.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Barça eSports | 75c | 437.42$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barça eSports | 54c | 393.77$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed DMG Esports | 46c | 210.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Barça eSports | 53c | 205.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DMG Esports | 28c | 191.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked DMG Esports | 80c | 170.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked DMG Esports | 30c | 156.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Barça eSports | 49c | 142.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed DMG Esports | 72c | 139.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed DMG Esports | 26c | 99.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 83.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked DMG Esports | 28c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…fa4bbacked Barça eSports | 57c | 77.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Barça eSports | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Barça eSports | 76c | 55.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DMG Esports | 47c | 50.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Barça eSports | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Barça eSports | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked Barça eSports | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DMG Esports | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Barça eSports | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Barça eSports | 57c | 27.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Barça eSports | 56c | 27.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Barça eSports vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)DMG Esports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group ADMG Esports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.