Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2831b85bcb9d34ccb4302903a269a15487ec7d1774199db0b09412e8d2fcbd61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arctic Pandasof Arctic Pandas, NightBirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked NightBirds | 65c | 31,679$20,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,625.76 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Arctic Pandas | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Arctic Pandas | 55c | 6,202$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.95 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 2,953$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Arctic Pandas | 61c | 2,463$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.17 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 2,291$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.18 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 2,050$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.88 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Arctic Pandas | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NightBirds | 65c | 1,838$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.83 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NightBirds | 32c | 1,703$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.27 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NightBirds | 41c | 1,623$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.99 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 1,482$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed NightBirds | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.99 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed NightBirds | 43c | 1,334$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed NightBirds | 34c | 1,190$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.27 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked NightBirds | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NightBirds | 37c | 939.63$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NightBirds | 45c | 886$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.77 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 876.47$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.47 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed NightBirds | 67c | 744.41$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed NightBirds | 29c | 691.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 635.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.3 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed NightBirds | 27c | 631.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 604.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 599$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +180%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked NightBirds | 54c | 594.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Arctic Pandas | 61c | 537.73$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked NightBirds | 38c | 520.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NightBirds | 64c | 510.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NightBirds | 24c | 445.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 444.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NightBirds | 54c | 428$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Arctic Pandas | 37c | 419.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NightBirds | 49c | 406.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed NightBirds | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked NightBirds | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 289.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Arctic Pandas | 49c | 208.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Arctic Pandas | 33c | 205$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked NightBirds | 19c | 201$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Arctic Pandas | 31c | 199.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Arctic Pandas | 38c | 199.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked NightBirds | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 180.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed NightBirds | 68c | 170$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…5b5abacked Arctic Pandas | 67c | 158.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +115%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Arctic Pandas | 36c | 149.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e10abacked Arctic Pandas | 61c | 131.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Arctic Pandas | 41c | 118.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Arctic Pandas | 73c | 108.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Arctic Pandas | 40c | 105.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked NightBirds | 67c | 104.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Arctic Pandas | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Arctic Pandas | 33c | 99.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NightBirds | 67c | 96.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NightBirds | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 87.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NightBirds | 66c | 75.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 173 | 66.5%115 W · 58 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked NightBirds | 15c | 73.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…f2febacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Arctic Pandas | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Arctic Pandas | 36c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed NightBirds | 41c | 66.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…b0f0backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NightBirds | 17c | 57.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7821…2242backed NightBirds | 67c | 55.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Arctic Pandas | 64c | 53.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…fa4bbacked NightBirds | 29c | 53.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Arctic Pandas | 35c | 51.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NightBirds | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked NightBirds | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed NightBirds | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed NightBirds | 64c | 39.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed NightBirds | 61c | 37.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…6891backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arctic Pandas | 33c | 30.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked NightBirds | 67c | 23.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Arctic Pandas | 75c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed NightBirds | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 222 | 39.6%88 W · 134 L | -21.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked NightBirds | 67c | 19.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Arctic Pandas | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cthis page
- Game Handicap: NBS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)Arctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs NightBirds - Game 1 WinnerArctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs NightBirds - Game 2 WinnerArctic Pandas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.