Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5ca1befda122934c05d18e05a685860937e7de2ce9996cee72c7c8590094e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof California Baptist Lancers, Utah Tech Trailblazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,615 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 52c | 2,977$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.71 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 1,958$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.99 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed California Baptist Lancers | 10c | 800$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 10c | 800$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Baptist Lancers | 42c | 789.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 521.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 447.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked California Baptist Lancers | 12c | 435$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked California Baptist Lancers | 59c | 386.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 385.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 304.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 297.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed California Baptist Lancers | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 172.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 160$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed California Baptist Lancers | 10c | 160$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 56c | 128.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed California Baptist Lancers | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed California Baptist Lancers | 44c | 119.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 104.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 95.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 60.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed California Baptist Lancers | 60c | 49.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 59c | 32.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…fa4bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 64c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-3.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-6.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist LancersCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.