Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf90f54404847260a6e1c70bcfbcb9578bf27905bb3547117e566bc84989d710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 13,247$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.14 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 10,262$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.85 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 1,512$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 55c | 1,492$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.01 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,042$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 449.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 53c | 351.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 54c | 212.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 47c | 211.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 165.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 135.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 134.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 129.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 46c | 129.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 127.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 116.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 114.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 99.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 99.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Under | 49c | 90.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 86.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 53c | 84.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 68.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 66.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 64.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 58.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed Over | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Over | 54c | 43.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…2661backed Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 40.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 53c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Under | 47c | 27.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 46c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 53c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Under | 48c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 142.5this page
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-3.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-6.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist LancersCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.