CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3ff69bdd4ab71a8445d5d05ae5aa333f0beb2acc712f8aacecff11e5eda878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,263 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Eternal Fire | 4c | 2,750$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eternal Fire | 5c | 1,934$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 64c | 1,133$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Acend | 71c | 779.9$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 684.49$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 502.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 36c | 497.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 461.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eternal Fire | 13c | 427.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eternal Fire | 3c | 409.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 309.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 300.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 295.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Acend | 36c | 280.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 37c | 269.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Acend | 38c | 263.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 252.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 236.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 225.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Eternal Fire | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 214.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Acend | 57c | 199$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 9c | 151.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 142.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Acend | 50c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 108.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 31c | 104$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Acend | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Acend | 26c | 92.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 80.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 79.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Acend | 44c | 75.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked Acend | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Acend | 37c | 68.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Acend | 30c | 49.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 46.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Acend | 50c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Acend | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 37.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…fa4bbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 36.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Acend | 34c | 36.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 30.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Acend | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Acend | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…34a7backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 24.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 22.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…8498backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 20.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.