TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
STATEof STATE, ENCE Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE61c5,017$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.577,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed ENCE Academy51c4,816$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked STATE48c2,725$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.2184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672f…d638backed ENCE Academy52c1,729$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed STATE46c1,230$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.431,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf65…9194backed ENCE Academy52c1,156$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed ENCE Academy38c1,049$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed STATE48c1,005$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.537100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+184.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed ENCE Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ENCE Academy47c981.3$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.984,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE58c740.12$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.921,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ENCE Academy42c698.6$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.655,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed STATE53c636.18$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.026,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked ENCE Academy45c547.44$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0516135.4%57 W · 104 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked ENCE Academy38c532.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5726037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed ENCE Academy51c516.25$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd9…9771backed ENCE Academy52c450.92$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked ENCE Academy35c425.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6722534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked ENCE Academy42c424.57$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0538942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed STATE50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1945,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked ENCE Academy42c328.29$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6912746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed ENCE Academy54c321.14$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4115141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ENCE Academy53c319.79$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.262,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4b…eb19backed ENCE Academy51c315.45$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ENCE Academy20c307.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.681,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ENCE Academy51c283.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked STATE36c270.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4734542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed STATE56c256.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.773056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed STATE54c253$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0327556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked ENCE Academy54c252.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.141968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed ENCE Academy51c249.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.127946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed STATE39c239.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5283443.6%364 W · 470 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed ENCE Academy49c210.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.071,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ENCE Academy43c200.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.652,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked STATE49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.936151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed STATE50c195.13$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0929052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE58c177.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.55,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked STATE59c151.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7438858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked ENCE Academy52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed STATE48c145.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5778043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ENCE Academy45c144.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.742,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed ENCE Academy25c144.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1338031.1%118 W · 262 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355b…18ecbacked STATE68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed ENCE Academy76c137.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5817759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c4…b153backed ENCE Academy51c134.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked ENCE Academy51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9421653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked STATE57c128.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1225250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ENCE Academy36c126.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed STATE49c125.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0851055.9%285 W · 225 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed STATE50c118.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.278641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked STATE44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.54450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked ENCE Academy51c106.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3517055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked STATE48c104.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked ENCE Academy52c103.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.497625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ENCE Academy33c103.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.422,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed STATE55c103.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.683525.7%9 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed STATE54c102.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8410752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ENCE Academy61c102.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.521,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed ENCE Academy50c101.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9578952%410 W · 379 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed ENCE Academy50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed STATE48c99.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.959758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ENCE Academy21c99.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.874,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed STATE49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked STATE49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4571651%365 W · 351 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked STATE50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed STATE60c92.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0930154.2%163 W · 138 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked STATE53c92.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.453545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked STATE62c87.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed STATE43c84.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.436735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE69c84.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed STATE49c82.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9836649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked STATE41c81.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3770038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed ENCE Academy61c80.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8315358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed STATE62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.954546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb818…6611backed ENCE Academy46c77.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.856544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5d…90b3backed STATE68c76.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.545141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed ENCE Academy19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.958413.1%11 W · 73 L-13.9wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-80.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed STATE48c69.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1466072.4%478 W · 182 L+117.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed STATE71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.075863.8%37 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked STATE72c68.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ENCE Academy38c65.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked ENCE Academy19c60.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.577744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ENCE Academy51c60.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7515441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed ENCE Academy59c59.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.114463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ENCE Academy50c58.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.283,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed STATE66c58.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed STATE60c51.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7449376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ENCE Academy45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.012,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed STATE58c47.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1516349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked STATE75c45.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5621354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ENCE Academy30c44.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.462,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed STATE39c43.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6615646.8%73 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed ENCE Academy49c42.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0837841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked STATE50c42.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2935752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed ENCE Academy57c41.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8827548.7%134 W · 141 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed ENCE Academy55c40.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked STATE52c39.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed ENCE Academy50c38.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5273548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked STATE62c32.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.222,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dba…368dbacked STATE49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.