TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE Academy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
STATEof STATE, ENCE Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4713…4d21backed ENCE Academy7c250.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.465,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ENCE Academy30c244.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.583,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed STATE46c158.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4215358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ENCE Academy42c148.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.892,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed STATE59c102.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked STATE70c91.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.181,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed ENCE Academy34c51.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6437841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed ENCE Academy25c41.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.574235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked STATE71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77580%60 W · 15 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked STATE76c38.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed STATE76c33.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9568172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.