TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,875 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim RedForce64c12,229$7,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.7219248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NRG40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.995642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed NRG33c9,867$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG38c3,886$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce50c3,642$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.9234356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed NRG6c3,294$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG14c2,694$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,888$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.1226051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nongshim RedForce66c1,763$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2721558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed NRG52c1,702$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Nongshim RedForce55c1,308$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.173847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim RedForce49c1,085$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nongshim RedForce52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.215553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7541…334abacked NRG26c823.17$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG40c695.37$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1733346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked NRG52c640$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce64c546.78$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce56c490.47$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.891,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked NRG37c490$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.34535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce52c489.15$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7910956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NRG45c369.5$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9331227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed NRG41c368$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.388835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG40c360.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.731,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG50c352.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.45939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce69c349$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.231,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce61c343.65$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nongshim RedForce68c327.31$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.467635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Nongshim RedForce52c316.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.852846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG36c308.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.561,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed NRG30c297.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.889142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed NRG40c250$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Nongshim RedForce60c250$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce54c242.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NRG45c241.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4533759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed NRG21c234.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…ff19backed NRG9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f05…fa4bbacked NRG19c215.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed NRG36c207.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.698625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed NRG40c204$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.434632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Nongshim RedForce68c201.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.778848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Nongshim RedForce56c200.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.22857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nongshim RedForce50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nongshim RedForce60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8022455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed NRG51c195.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Nongshim RedForce56c191.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Nongshim RedForce62c178.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.791060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Nongshim RedForce59c171.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.153834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Nongshim RedForce61c164.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.363852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG31c159.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Nongshim RedForce64c157.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0910661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9718…2584backed NRG36c157.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.68130%0 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Nongshim RedForce64c156.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.593284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Nongshim RedForce65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Nongshim RedForce78c153.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed NRG45c149.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.196346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG52c143$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.368751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Nongshim RedForce54c139.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.257716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nongshim RedForce65c132.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.994963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed NRG44c128$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.323135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed NRG45c115.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Nongshim RedForce52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3810743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd631…e289backed Nongshim RedForce60c110.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Nongshim RedForce71c102.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0314652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed NRG35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Nongshim RedForce51c98.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.631637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked NRG47c96.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4542051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91c…eb82backed Nongshim RedForce52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Nongshim RedForce52c95.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.324346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d17…32d8backed NRG26c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce56c89.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4351948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce59c87.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG38c87.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nongshim RedForce58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5427847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed NRG35c75.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.486949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG32c72.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Nongshim RedForce64c66.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.854946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed NRG60c64.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.912656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Nongshim RedForce60c63.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.356061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Nongshim RedForce65c60.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1510217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Nongshim RedForce51c59.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.927650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG31c56.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Nongshim RedForce54c55.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.414747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Nongshim RedForce67c51.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0610455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Nongshim RedForce57c45.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce71c42.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Nongshim RedForce60c41.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.682065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb108…7212backed NRG50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205032%16 W · 34 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed Nongshim RedForce51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce52c38.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3462856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fc…a448backed Nongshim RedForce67c31.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Nongshim RedForce63c29.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.898451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed Nongshim RedForce57c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nongshim RedForce53c20.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.