Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc8d76b3bac488059a7352fc6429e77c70f4b0db553dcb0117f3f3e13e6fcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,750 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4268…0169backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Under | 50c | 10,003$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Under | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed Over | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 46c | 5,109$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 5,045$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 48c | 2,253$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 47c | 1,962$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 1,022$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.44 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 361.3$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 46c | 247$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 53c | 227.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 53c | 188.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 52c | 153.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 53c | 69.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 46c | 66.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 46c | 54.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 48c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.