TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOS, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06c0…e618backed LOS47c21,706$10,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,172.6327957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOUD53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0501,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOS35c12,586$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,365.822,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked LOS41c11,977$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.5737245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LOS30c6,910$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.6269539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed LOUD59c5,675$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.861,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LOUD59c5,309$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.731,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD59c5,051$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.941,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LOUD59c4,946$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.861,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed LOUD60c4,835$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.3354756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOS28c4,636$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.671,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOS26c4,137$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.8185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD60c4,003$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.031,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOS31c3,678$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.721,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed LOUD53c3,551$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.5218554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOS21c3,435$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.51,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOS4c3,277$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.663,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LOUD53c2,614$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.5752848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOUD59c2,439$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.9971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS40c2,073$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.2595041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOS41c2,069$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.422,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked LOUD56c2,043$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD59c1,975$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.791,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed LOUD59c1,956$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80282352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked LOS26c1,911$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4753355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LOUD57c1,684$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.0185652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LOUD77c1,610$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.851,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD59c1,604$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.011,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD59c1,567$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.391,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD60c1,503$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.222,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD59c1,271$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.111,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOS49c1,232$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.31,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOUD64c1,121$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed LOUD54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.513342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed LOS41c993.54$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.3526443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOS49c989.95$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6926448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed LOS5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1535533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked LOS35c937.27$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.414744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOS41c928.84$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0376142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS42c839.95$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7296250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked LOS40c759.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30426245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed LOUD55c749.48$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.265644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed LOUD59c713$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3357754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed LOS40c681.37$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4843642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LOUD59c658.29$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked LOS50c608.81$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8856341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed LOS43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25842148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD59c599.49$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4785746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LOUD53c583.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LOS49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed LOS41c530.62$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21911844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed LOS5c518.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9318447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed LOS5c518.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.938360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed LOUD53c518.17$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5413135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed LOS13c499.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9221622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD60c488.19$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.41,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOUD60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed LOS5c471.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5811859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOS41c421.03$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed LOS16c409.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4414454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LOS18c401.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.531,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked LOUD53c398.44$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.275735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LOS7c397.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed LOS41c393.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3617942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LOUD60c390.71$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2859241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOS41c352.9$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.691,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LOS41c351.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1873237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD60c329.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6228042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed LOS5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed LOS55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed LOS41c244.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2115944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LOUD57c237.57$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1579151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD59c232.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.341,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed LOS40c221.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6911535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed LOUD60c203.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3314754.4%80 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed LOUD57c194.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+60.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed LOS44c176.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.334844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked LOS45c173.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1630632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed LOUD68c148.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.881,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked LOUD60c148.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2768557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOS44c146.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed LOS35c139.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.663138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed LOS41c137.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.516850.6%85 W · 83 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOS43c135.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9664451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOS41c134.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.042,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a9…9167backed LOUD73c134.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked LOS45c128.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0233125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LOS41c128.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LOS41c127.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0828638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed LOUD53c127.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.798627.9%24 W · 62 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed LOUD60c124.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.675058%29 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked LOS41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2335146.2%162 W · 189 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LOS41c110.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.451,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf254…3a54backed LOS45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.354141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed LOS45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3525945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked LOS45c106.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.471,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked LOUD59c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0547738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed LOUD56c104.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.950647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed LOS25c102.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.471,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked LOUD53c100.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.413541.5%56 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.