TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOS, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68ac…3d7ebacked LOS78c12,519$9,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,745.59425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked LOS42c11,412$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,790.0837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed LOS34c10,488$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.0313752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed LOUD15c8,337$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,053.4318554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked LOS71c5,008$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.9457546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed LOUD54c4,583$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.648651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LOUD39c4,499$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.4169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LOUD58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.911,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked LOS13c3,791$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48617840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LOUD45c3,636$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.2485852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD57c3,476$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.911,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD56c3,436$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.831,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD58c3,022$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.192,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOS52c3,006$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.4626448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed LOS45c2,987$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.4164455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD43c2,641$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.21,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD61c2,539$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.7176642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LOUD58c2,534$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.181,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOUD29c2,393$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.6571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed LOUD55c2,293$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.882452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed LOUD39c2,236$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.4643151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD15c2,048$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.712,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOUD56c1,960$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.2545041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD55c1,835$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.481,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD47c1,771$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.381,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LOUD58c1,735$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.131,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed LOUD15c1,624$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.2926443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed LOUD23c1,526$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.2649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD56c1,518$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.911,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed LOS29c1,454$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0821622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD57c1,345$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.71,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked LOS35c1,321$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.7226245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD13c1,320$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LOUD57c1,288$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.771,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD57c1,254$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.061,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOUD57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD25c1,125$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.481,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOS15c1,087$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6845618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LOS57c1,077$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.71,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD15c969.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.8785942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOS42c931.19$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8982044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked LOS43c906.17$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6529944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed LOUD33c877.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.214348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked LOS35c824.18$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8921559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LOUD53c816.2$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed LOS27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21635546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD57c785.57$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.881,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LOUD79c740.52$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.961,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed LOS9c704.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3727254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOS46c700.46$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2128042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked LOUD28c690.31$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.984744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed LOUD51c664.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.0425945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed LOUD27c607.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2430744%135 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS45c606.1$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7496350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD64c593.57$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.111,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOUD55c586.5$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.921,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed LOS54c577.61$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOS45c570.96$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.11,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked LOUD26c566.81$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5623559.6%140 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed LOUD33c566.11$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.686347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed LOS68c555.6$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.615357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed LOUD36c538.18$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LOS46c525.87$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.912047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed LOUD33c522.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7610350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed LOUD57c515.35$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.657754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked LOS43c514.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6830856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LOS44c510.54$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.221,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked LOUD58c504.4$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0842250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOUD51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24563551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LOUD27c493.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.551,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed LOUD57c485.39$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7222349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed LOUD73c485.07$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6341060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…895dbacked LOUD58c480.66$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8810954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LOUD20c469.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3541945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcc…257abacked LOS74c465.59$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.542365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed LOUD58c454.85$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6726246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked LOUD60c454.35$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed LOUD57c448.25$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7540959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOUD57c437.54$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1482953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LOS46c420.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LOS47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked LOS43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17264849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOS74c390.37$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.671,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed LOUD50c388.69$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.126058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD48c386.55$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.733,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOUD34c369.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.991,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed LOS41c362.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD28c360.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1795541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed LOS44c360.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed LOUD57c353.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.996254.3%522 W · 440 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD36c345.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.322,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed LOUD62c337.24$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0845366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed LOUD12c331.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7414454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD49c321.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.232,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked LOS61c321.59$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2912642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked LOS37c293.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2333124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed LOS58c284.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7215944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed LOUD24c278.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8924435.7%87 W · 157 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked LOUD22c276.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6440340.9%165 W · 238 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LOS54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8679151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.