TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,963 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4762…ba70backed NRG38c15,525$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,554.2113558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG55c11,539$6,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.2634356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex52c10,973$5,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,758.8519248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked NRG68c5,722$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Paper Rex59c5,000$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.985642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex33c4,509$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.1368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.9726738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Paper Rex46c3,965$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.472951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex40c3,146$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.4665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked NRG61c2,505$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.373060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Paper Rex34c2,119$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.775939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Paper Rex36c2,025$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG72c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9926050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Paper Rex52c1,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed Paper Rex53c1,889$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG68c1,859$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Paper Rex58c1,817$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.833551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paper Rex33c1,812$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9919046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex28c1,691$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.3581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex40c1,204$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5133759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex15c1,118$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.741,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex49c951.55$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.914652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex45c827$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.123129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Paper Rex4c817$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG42c799.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Paper Rex57c784.12$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed NRG51c779.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.93852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked NRG39c773.2$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.283941%16 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex55c719.33$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6378162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex44c701.69$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.441,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed NRG45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6710956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Paper Rex32c631.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex57c585$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.458751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Paper Rex38c577.38$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.492254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex59c577.37$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.910661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Paper Rex40c528.75$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed NRG51c509.51$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.212055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Paper Rex38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1894332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Paper Rex57c473.7$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.017530.7%23 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed Paper Rex58c467.05$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.899952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Paper Rex27c403.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.434755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG57c402.9$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.11,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex27c358.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Paper Rex34c351.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.783158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Paper Rex22c336.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb993…8d3fbacked Paper Rex31c333$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.231030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Paper Rex27c326.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.791827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf725…cb91backed Paper Rex44c320.09$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Paper Rex48c314.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG61c306.45$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.425225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Paper Rex49c284.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.61757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed NRG78c270$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex57c266.54$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Paper Rex59c253.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b2…ca4fbacked Paper Rex57c249.12$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…e8acbacked NRG39c246.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed NRG39c226.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.231637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked NRG41c217.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.195561.8%34 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed NRG73c215$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0510159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Paper Rex55c200.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Paper Rex50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ad7…c55bbacked Paper Rex56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG67c198.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5531634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04dd…d3dfbacked Paper Rex31c191.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paper Rex33c178.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0623146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Paper Rex64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex30c145.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5357517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed NRG61c130$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.116050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc7…613ebacked Paper Rex59c126.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58f…a8a3backed Paper Rex55c120.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+400%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Paper Rex58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex27c117$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.338837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Paper Rex13c113$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Paper Rex23c102.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Paper Rex50c100.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa573…dd69backed Paper Rex38c100.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Paper Rex58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587762.3%48 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Paper Rex53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.723644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Paper Rex37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed Paper Rex57c96.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed NRG73c95.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Paper Rex17c88.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9917039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae0…5d62backed NRG75c86.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed NRG61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb108…7212backed NRG46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25032%16 W · 34 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7e98backed Paper Rex63c79.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda0…b6a2backed NRG72c78.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b1…b066backed NRG71c78.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked NRG47c77.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.979062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Paper Rex57c77.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.189042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed NRG42c75.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.949142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Paper Rex18c75.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked NRG41c72.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Paper Rex31c71.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.246949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d64…14d2backed NRG73c70.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.