TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof LOUD, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked RED Canids44c26,118$11,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,734.8817163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed RED Canids34c21,083$7,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,937.0427353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked RED Canids42c12,563$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,286.521,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed RED Canids80c10,929$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.318554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD26c8,345$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.091,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked LOUD46c8,114$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.4511035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LOUD33c8,000$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.731,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked LOUD58c7,808$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.0432345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1139…3a92backed LOUD53c7,403$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.262759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed RED Canids72c7,064$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.412568%17 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed LOUD58c6,513$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,787.413130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids60c6,398$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.361,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOUD54c6,302$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.382044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOUD55c5,158$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD43c5,154$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.931,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids46c4,801$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.071,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD44c4,374$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.831,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD43c4,180$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.1485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids46c4,000$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.641,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed LOUD5c3,967$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.993775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD10c3,506$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.77869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed LOUD59c3,495$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.9928361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids46c3,486$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.281,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed LOUD56c3,375$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8902850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD39c3,327$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.821,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed LOUD48c2,682$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.2939246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids45c2,675$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.2190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed LOUD58c2,502$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.3348440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked LOUD20c2,404$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6618046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f0…6ca0backed LOUD58c2,390$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD59c2,338$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.381,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed LOUD56c2,208$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.4852538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Canids65c2,068$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.372,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked LOUD56c2,018$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13034250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed RED Canids46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked RED Canids39c1,983$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.6114338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed LOUD40c1,832$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD60c1,763$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.792,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed RED Canids47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.351,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked LOUD38c1,583$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids46c1,565$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.8670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked RED Canids46c1,563$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.871,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD54c1,560$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6595041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed LOUD14c1,506$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.451,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked LOUD58c1,478$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.8919648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked LOUD49c1,425$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed LOUD58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.19245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce53…e5babacked RED Canids74c1,233$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.373470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids46c1,228$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.71,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOUD74c1,223$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.8426448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LOUD55c1,199$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed LOUD47c1,183$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.6542050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed RED Canids43c1,137$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.3185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed LOUD59c1,119$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.0111340.7%46 W · 67 L-12.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed LOUD60c1,017$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.322360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed RED Canids57c1,007$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1199338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked LOUD55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55044743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD34c914.65$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.681,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked LOUD50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD56c900$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff0b…31e5backed LOUD79c890$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.911566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD57c872.91$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.652,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids47c865.28$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.11,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed RED Canids42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked LOUD49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9950242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed LOUD58c796.28$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8442735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD47c789.29$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked LOUD58c777.24$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked LOUD1c773.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1940916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed LOUD57c754.39$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4317249.4%85 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed LOUD68c735.81$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6419053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LOUD62c722.03$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOUD57c711.31$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7943442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed RED Canids43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed RED Canids43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3992,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed LOUD59c660$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.26936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed LOUD55c621$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7110944%48 W · 61 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked LOUD51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed RED Canids69c581.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.27435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed LOUD18c580$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1742124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd03b…c2c6backed RED Canids43c570$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e43…f53cbacked LOUD56c570$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed RED Canids51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed LOUD55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2367…93a1backed LOUD36c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked RED Canids23c500$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38486649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked LOUD33c490$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.744751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed LOUD62c476.64$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9610356.3%58 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked RED Canids71c440.35$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed LOUD28c438.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.268942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed LOUD13c433.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.641,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed LOUD46c430.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LOUD50c428.29$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21548353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed LOUD8c404.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8936749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked LOUD14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked RED Canids46c399.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21695951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked LOUD55c385.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21215141.7%63 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOUD53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed LOUD18c362$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.632931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.