Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68631adbb54ced99c7f9cac9856495c419ac952a4e9e85551357a732e306606d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 62c | 16,362$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.23 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 40c | 8,678$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.1 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 41c | 7,922$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 36c | 2,333$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.75 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 36c | 1,194$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 39c | 798.19$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.67 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 785.78$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 37c | 772$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.64 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 57c | 692$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 43c | 530.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 43c | 438$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 37c | 316$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 225.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 222.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 36c | 222$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 37c | 221.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…4213backed Over | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Over | 46c | 92.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 59c | 92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 41c | 92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 90.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 59c | 56.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 36c | 52.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…eb80backed Under | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 31c | 40.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 45c | 40.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…d25abacked Under | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 30.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…1763backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)RED Canids won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonRED Canids won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.