Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee399168ce1d8a5838322b7a589e25b097e81a861ca412c8cd95145a21d6adc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KPI Gamingof KPI Gaming, HGE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KPI Gaming | 66c | 1,638$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.8 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed KPI Gaming | 73c | 1,583$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.31 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…d94fbacked HGE Esports | 41c | 911.96$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed HGE Esports | 35c | 620.85$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HGE Esports | 24c | 437.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed HGE Esports | 30c | 358.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed KPI Gaming | 62c | 314.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…bea7backed HGE Esports | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HGE Esports | 36c | 193.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed HGE Esports | 48c | 188.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed KPI Gaming | 53c | 176.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed KPI Gaming | 67c | 172.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed HGE Esports | 26c | 161.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked HGE Esports | 37c | 130.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HGE Esports | 17c | 121.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked KPI Gaming | 68c | 107.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed HGE Esports | 19c | 104.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KPI Gaming | 61c | 103.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed KPI Gaming | 64c | 99.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed KPI Gaming | 61c | 80.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KPI Gaming | 70c | 66.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked KPI Gaming | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked HGE Esports | 46c | 53.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 50cpaid | -81%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HGE Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HGE Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked KPI Gaming | 53c | 43.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed KPI Gaming | 46c | 42.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KPI Gaming | 69c | 40.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed KPI Gaming | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked KPI Gaming | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KPI Gaming | 61c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked KPI Gaming | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed KPI Gaming | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked KPI Gaming | 73c | 24.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed KPI Gaming | 66c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KPI Gaming | 73c | 22.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed KPI Gaming | 66c | 20.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KPI Gaming | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed KPI Gaming | 76c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed KPI Gaming | 65c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 1 WinnerKPI Gaming won
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 2 WinnerKPI Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.