CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a7d5bd2d08e85874ee13f12005492a6a157c95c9932be8d5d0733cf67e9de1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof FOKUS, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FOKUS | 47c | 54,964$25,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,783.6 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wildcard | 53c | 45,119$23,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,205.94 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed FOKUS | 45c | 10,509$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.77 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Wildcard | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Wildcard | 55c | 5,303$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.34 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Wildcard | 57c | 5,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Wildcard | 54c | 3,848$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.92 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Wildcard | 53c | 3,521$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.56 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FOKUS | 43c | 3,081$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.63 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS | 44c | 1,879$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.94 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed FOKUS | 70c | 1,242$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.43 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Wildcard | 30c | 1,202$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.09 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Wildcard | 57c | 996.16$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.35 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Wildcard | 54c | 732.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Wildcard | 50c | 714.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed FOKUS | 43c | 493.16$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked FOKUS | 44c | 455.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed FOKUS | 45c | 439.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Wildcard | 52c | 392.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed FOKUS | 42c | 367.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Wildcard | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed FOKUS | 43c | 322.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Wildcard | 51c | 270.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Wildcard | 57c | 261.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…abb3backed FOKUS | 45c | 244.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Wildcard | 52c | 240.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked FOKUS | 43c | 230.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Wildcard | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FOKUS | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed FOKUS | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Wildcard | 52c | 187.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Wildcard | 56c | 168.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked FOKUS | 47c | 151.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed Wildcard | 54c | 145.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Wildcard | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…26fdbacked FOKUS | 50c | 106.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed FOKUS | 45c | 106.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed Wildcard | 50c | 102.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FOKUS | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…4f37backed Wildcard | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Wildcard | 57c | 84.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked Wildcard | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Wildcard | 56c | 79.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Wildcard | 54c | 69.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed FOKUS | 32c | 60.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed FOKUS | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wildcard | 54c | 51.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Wildcard | 39c | 49.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Wildcard | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed FOKUS | 46c | 44.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FOKUS | 43c | 43.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed FOKUS | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…82d7backed FOKUS | 64c | 39.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked FOKUS | 41c | 35.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Wildcard | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…6882backed Wildcard | 57c | 34.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 38c | 32.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed FOKUS | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked FOKUS | 40c | 32.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed FOKUS | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Wildcard | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FOKUS | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed FOKUS | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Wildcard | 53c | 23.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Wildcard | 53c | 23.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed FOKUS | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed FOKUS | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked FOKUS | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.