TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildcardof FOKUS, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FOKUS58c24,200$14,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,030.323,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Wildcard58c20,023$11,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,340.478750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed FOKUS75c8,114$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wildcard24c6,474$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.1830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Wildcard25c6,245$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.1832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Wildcard25c6,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.9112653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Wildcard60c5,909$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.1612571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Wildcard28c4,717$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.1524346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FOKUS40c3,964$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.883,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS57c3,441$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.762,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed FOKUS75c3,320$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.857972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Wildcard26c3,123$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.2823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FOKUS52c3,058$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.8733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed FOKUS53c2,119$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.229850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Wildcard57c1,978$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.6157358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FOKUS58c1,912$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.591,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FOKUS75c1,819$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.3264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS31c1,700$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.823,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Wildcard38c1,664$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.041,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed FOKUS67c1,590$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.2855845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS61c1,521$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.931,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS45c1,514$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.765,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Wildcard25c1,228$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Wildcard31c1,193$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.481,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FOKUS51c1,189$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.713,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS59c1,139$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.114,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed FOKUS78c1,138$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.638670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard53c1,138$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.94,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard31c1,083$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.581,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed FOKUS63c1,081$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.637445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS67c1,080$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.136,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x892b…b4fabacked FOKUS76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed FOKUS47c982.79$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked FOKUS78c947.72$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.7524939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FOKUS68c937.39$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.6944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FOKUS40c933.18$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.362,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Wildcard55c903.48$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1810945%49 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed FOKUS60c900$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53712452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Wildcard61c897.04$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0311166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Wildcard80c860.52$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.853253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard42c853.35$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FOKUS67c797.92$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed FOKUS70c791.65$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.114344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FOKUS43c717.92$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed FOKUS73c704.53$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6123165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Wildcard34c613.11$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6550043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard31c535.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.715,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked FOKUS43c530$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.919741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FOKUS78c511.24$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7755043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd617…0011backed FOKUS63c499.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Wildcard26c499.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.971,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Wildcard37c471.54$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2349646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked FOKUS73c460.78$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.923661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS62c456.07$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.142,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8db…6181backed FOKUS65c451.27$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FOKUS74c422.6$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7236554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed FOKUS69c419.96$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3720553.7%110 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard25c419.75$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FOKUS69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Wildcard21c400$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7578348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed FOKUS80c395.19$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0322556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wildcard27c382.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2791,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard33c373.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked FOKUS76c365.03$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5239970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Wildcard50c359.12$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.632,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed FOKUS73c350$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FOKUS46c337.19$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7225042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS30c327.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc461…3151backed Wildcard61c321.74$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e08…f3c8backed Wildcard43c317.23$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.05425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked FOKUS75c313.32$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.215064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Wildcard29c309.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1714843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FOKUS47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed FOKUS29c305$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed FOKUS73c296.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4442651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked FOKUS74c293.37$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.099159.3%54 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked FOKUS74c289.04$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FOKUS66c286.69$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2258651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked FOKUS49c284.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8922534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051a…6c9fbacked FOKUS75c262.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed FOKUS73c236$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.726835.3%24 W · 44 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked FOKUS67c224$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7824841.1%102 W · 146 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Wildcard27c222.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FOKUS64c217.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.382,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed FOKUS67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked FOKUS59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed FOKUS74c199.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6614856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FOKUS74c196.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6929465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked FOKUS47c191.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3438942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Wildcard40c187.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6329831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed FOKUS75c182.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.878056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed FOKUS67c179.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9823851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard35c169.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.142,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked FOKUS75c165.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.635658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked FOKUS75c165.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.633946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Wildcard43c165.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed FOKUS18c164$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.967321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Wildcard25c157.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4141640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Wildcard26c157.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.082157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.